Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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974
UXUS97 KPUB 211221
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0621 MDT Friday, June 21, 2024

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Friday, June 21, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 62.9 F/17.2 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 817 ft/min (4.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18274 ft MSL (9302 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 76.0 F/24.9 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1030 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1600 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 16305 ft MSL (7333 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 06/22..... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:40:38 / 20:30:29 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 49 min 51 sec (889 min 51 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:34 MDT... 75.12 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/21/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15780 ft MSL (6808 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 12328 ft MSL (3356 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15580 ft MSL (6608 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.0
K index......................... +27.3

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -63.5 -82.3   230   50   26   2.7   1.5      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -57.4 -71.3   235   75   39   5.9   3.2      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -48.4 -55.1   235   77   40   6.6   3.6      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -44.4 -47.9   230   70   36   6.6   3.6      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -40.5 -40.9   225   64   33   6.8   3.7      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -36.2 -33.2   225   53   27   7.2   3.9      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -31.9 -25.4   225   42   22   6.9   3.8      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -26.5 -15.7   225   38   20   8.1   4.4   38.0 100.4    10.7      M    M
 29000  -24.1 -11.4   225   37   19   8.1   4.5   37.5  99.4    10.3      M    M
 28000  -21.8  -7.2   225   35   18   7.2   3.9   36.8  98.3     9.9      M    M
 27000  -19.7  -3.5   230   34   17   7.3   4.0   35.8  96.5     9.1      M    M
 26000  -17.5   0.5   240   32   17   7.4   4.0   35.0  94.9     8.5      M    M
 25000  -15.4   4.3   245   32   16   7.0   3.8   34.2  93.6     7.9      M    M
 24000  -13.5   7.7   245   34   18   6.4   3.5   32.9  91.3     6.8      M    M
 23000  -11.6  11.1   245   37   19   6.4   3.5   31.8  89.2     5.8      M    M
 22000   -9.8  14.4   250   40   20   6.2   3.4   30.7  87.3     4.9      M    M
 21000   -8.1  17.4   245   41   21   5.8   3.2   29.3  84.7     3.6      M    M
 20000   -6.5  20.3   240   42   22   5.8   3.2   27.9  82.3     2.4      M    M
 19500   -5.6  21.9   235   42   22   5.9   3.2   27.3  81.2     1.8      M    M
 19000   -4.9  23.2   235   43   22   5.1   2.8   26.6  79.9     1.2      M    M
 18500   -4.1  24.6   235   44   23   5.2   2.8   25.8  78.5     0.4      M    M
 18000   -3.4  25.9   235   44   23   5.1   2.8   25.1  77.2    -0.3    803  4.1
 17500   -2.7  27.1   230   45   23   4.9   2.7   24.3  75.7    -1.0    767  3.9
 17000   -2.0  28.4   230   46   24   4.9   2.7   23.5  74.3    -1.8    731  3.7
 16500   -1.3  29.7   230   46   24   5.3   2.9   22.8  73.0    -2.6    694  3.5
 16000   -0.5  31.1   230   46   24   5.3   2.9   22.0  71.6    -3.3    657  3.3
 15500    0.3  32.5   225   47   24   6.1   3.3   21.3  70.4    -4.0    620  3.1
 15000    1.7  35.1   225   46   24   6.9   3.8   20.6  69.0    -4.8    555  2.8
 14500    2.5  36.5   220   46   24   6.2   3.4   20.0  68.0    -5.4    514  2.6
 14000    3.5  38.3   220   44   22   7.0   3.9   19.6  67.2    -5.9    470  2.4
 13500    4.5  40.1   220   41   21   6.5   3.6   19.2  66.5    -6.4    426  2.2
 13000    5.4  41.7   215   36   18   6.8   3.7   18.7  65.6    -7.0    384  2.1
 12500    6.3  43.3   215   31   16   6.4   3.5   18.2  64.7    -7.6    341  1.7
 12000    7.2  45.0   210   27   14   5.8   3.2   17.6  63.7    -8.3    302  1.5
 11750    7.6  45.7   210   25   13   6.1   3.3   17.3  63.1    -8.6    282  1.4
 11500    8.0  46.4   205   24   12   5.6   3.1   17.0  62.6    -8.9    263  1.3
 11250    8.3  46.9   205   22   12   4.8   2.7   16.6  62.0    -9.3    244  1.2
 11000    8.7  47.7   205   21   11   4.8   2.6   16.3  61.3    -9.8    227  1.2
 10750    9.0  48.2   200   19   10   4.6   2.5   15.9  60.6   -10.2    210  1.1
 10500    9.3  48.7   200   18    9   4.0   2.2   15.5  59.9   -10.6    193  1.0
 10250    9.6  49.3   195   16    8   3.6   2.0   15.0  59.0   -11.1    178  0.9
 10000    9.8  49.6   195   13    7   3.5   1.9   14.5  58.2   -11.6    163  0.8
  9750   10.1  50.2   195   10    5   3.4   1.9   14.1  57.4   -12.1    148  0.8
  9500   10.3  50.5   190    7    4   5.1   2.8   13.7  56.6   -12.6    132  0.7
  9250   10.8  51.4   190    4    2   8.5   4.7   13.4  56.2   -12.9    111  0.6
  9000   11.3  52.3   185    1    0   3.9   2.2   13.3  55.9   -13.1     87  0.4
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           06/21/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       06/21/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...    +9.2    LI...       -0.8        | CAPE...  +304.8    LI...       -1.0
CINH...   -15.5    K Index... +27.1        | CINH...    -8.0    K Index... +23.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.6 -82.5  235  52 27   3.3   1.8 | -64.5 -84.1  235  55 29   3.4   1.9
 45000 -56.9 -70.4  240  75 39   5.8   3.2 | -57.3 -71.1  240  79 41   6.4   3.5
 40000 -47.8 -54.0  235  82 42   7.0   3.8 | -47.5 -53.5  235  85 44   7.2   4.0
 38000 -43.6 -46.5  230  76 39   7.0   3.8 | -43.2 -45.8  235  78 40   7.2   4.0
 36000 -39.4 -38.9  225  70 36   6.9   3.8 | -38.9 -38.0  230  71 36   6.8   3.8
 34000 -35.4 -31.7  225  64 33   6.6   3.6 | -35.1 -31.2  225  67 35   6.2   3.4
 32000 -31.0 -23.8  220  57 29   6.4   3.5 | -30.9 -23.6  220  64 33   6.2   3.4
 30000 -27.4 -17.3  215  50 26   6.0   3.3 | -27.3 -17.1  220  57 30   6.0   3.3
 29000 -25.7 -14.3  215  47 24   6.1   3.4 | -25.5 -13.9  220  54 28   6.0   3.3
 28000 -23.8 -10.8  210  44 23   8.2   4.5 | -23.7 -10.7  220  50 26   6.5   3.6
 27000 -21.4  -6.5  215  42 22   8.0   4.4 | -21.7  -7.1  220  47 24   6.5   3.6
 26000 -19.0  -2.2  215  41 21   8.0   4.4 | -19.8  -3.6  225  44 22   6.5   3.6
 25000 -16.6   2.1  220  40 20   7.4   4.0 | -17.8  -0.0  225  40 21   7.4   4.0
 24000 -14.7   5.5  220  37 19   6.4   3.5 | -15.3   4.5  225  37 19   8.4   4.6
 23000 -12.9   8.8  225  34 18   6.5   3.6 | -12.8   9.0  220  34 17   8.4   4.6
 22000 -11.0  12.2  230  32 16   6.7   3.7 | -10.3  13.5  220  30 16   7.1   3.9
 21000  -9.1  15.6  240  35 18   6.8   3.7 |  -8.6  16.5  225  29 15   6.0   3.3
 20000  -7.1  19.2  245  39 20   6.8   3.8 |  -6.9  19.6  235  29 15   6.3   3.5
 19500  -6.1  21.0  245  41 21   7.0   3.9 |  -6.1  21.0  240  29 15   6.5   3.5
 19000  -5.2  22.6  245  42 22   5.2   2.8 |  -5.2  22.6  245  28 15   7.1   3.9
 18500  -4.5  23.9  250  42 22   5.4   2.9 |  -4.2  24.4  250  28 14   7.1   3.9
 18000  -3.7  25.3  250  43 22   5.5   3.0 |  -3.2  26.2  255  27 14   6.8   3.7
 17500  -2.9  26.8  250  42 21   5.7   3.1 |  -2.3  27.9  260  27 14   6.3   3.5
 17000  -2.1  28.2  250  40 21   5.6   3.1 |  -1.4  29.5  265  27 14   6.3   3.5
 16500  -1.3  29.7  250  39 20   6.1   3.3 |  -0.5  31.1  270  27 14   5.7   3.1
 16000  -0.5  31.1  250  37 19   6.0   3.3 |   0.3  32.5  270  27 14   5.7   3.1
 15500   0.9  33.6  245  36 18   6.6   3.6 |   1.6  34.9  275  26 13   7.1   3.9
 15000   1.8  35.2  245  35 18   6.6   3.6 |   2.6  36.7  280  24 12   7.1   3.9
 14500   2.7  36.9  240  33 17   5.0   2.8 |   3.5  38.3  280  23 12   6.1   3.4
 14000   3.3  37.9  245  31 16   4.4   2.4 |   4.5  40.1  275  25 13   6.5   3.6
 13500   3.9  39.0  245  28 14   4.7   2.6 |   5.4  41.7  270  26 13   6.5   3.6
 13000   4.5  40.1  250  24 13   3.1   1.7 |   6.2  43.2  265  27 14   5.8   3.2
 12500   5.0  41.0  260  21 11   3.6   2.0 |   7.0  44.6  260  28 14   5.8   3.2
 12000   5.7  42.3  270  21 11   4.0   2.2 |   7.8  46.0  255  28 14   6.4   3.5
 11750   6.0  42.8  270  21 11   3.7   2.0 |   8.3  46.9  255  27 14   7.3   4.0
 11500   6.3  43.3  275  21 11   3.3   1.8 |   8.8  47.8  255  27 14   7.4   4.1
 11250   6.5  43.7  280  22 11   2.7   1.5 |   9.4  48.9  250  25 13   7.9   4.3
 11000   6.7  44.1  280  22 11   3.0   1.6 |  10.0  50.0  250  23 12   7.9   4.3
 10750   6.9  44.4  280  22 11   2.2   1.2 |  10.5  50.9  245  21 11   7.8   4.3
 10500   7.0  44.6  280  22 11   4.6   2.5 |  11.2  52.2  240  19 10   9.5   5.2
 10250   7.5  45.5  280  20 10   7.5   4.1 |  11.9  53.4  240  18  9  11.0   6.1
 10000   8.0  46.4  280  18  9   7.2   4.0 |  12.8  55.0  240  18  9  11.9   6.5
  9750   8.5  47.3  280  16  8   7.4   4.1 |  13.6  56.5  240  17  9   8.6   4.7
  9500   9.0  48.2  280  14  7  10.1   5.5 |  14.3  57.7  235  16  8  14.3   7.8
  9250   9.9  49.8  275  11  6  14.3   7.8 |  16.0  60.8  235  14  7  33.9  18.6
  9000  10.8  51.4  275   8  4   7.0   3.8 |  17.9  64.2  235  13  7   2.8   1.5
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           06/21/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       06/21/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +943.1    LI...       -3.3        | CAPE...  +770.9    LI...       -2.9
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +20.4        | CINH...    -0.0    K Index... +16.2
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -64.1 -83.4  235  57 29   3.2   1.8 | -64.0 -83.2  245  61 32   2.7   1.5
 45000 -57.0 -70.6  245  81 42   6.5   3.6 | -57.3 -71.1  245  83 43   7.1   3.9
 40000 -47.1 -52.8  240  92 47   6.9   3.8 | -46.6 -51.9  240  94 48   7.2   3.9
 38000 -43.0 -45.4  235  83 43   6.9   3.8 | -42.3 -44.1  240  86 44   7.2   4.0
 36000 -38.8 -37.8  235  75 38   6.6   3.6 | -38.0 -36.4  240  79 41   6.7   3.7
 34000 -35.2 -31.4  230  72 37   6.1   3.3 | -34.4 -29.9  240  68 35   5.9   3.2
 32000 -31.0 -23.8  230  69 35   6.2   3.4 | -30.5 -22.9  240  55 28   6.3   3.4
 30000 -27.3 -17.1  230  63 32   6.3   3.5 | -26.9 -16.4  240  47 24   6.0   3.3
 29000 -25.4 -13.7  230  60 31   6.3   3.5 | -25.0 -13.0  245  44 23   6.0   3.3
 28000 -23.4 -10.1  230  57 29   7.1   3.9 | -23.1  -9.6  245  41 21   7.9   4.3
 27000 -21.3  -6.3  230  52 27   7.0   3.9 | -20.8  -5.4  245  41 21   7.7   4.2
 26000 -19.2  -2.6  230  48 25   7.0   3.9 | -18.5  -1.3  245  40 21   7.7   4.2
 25000 -17.1   1.2  230  43 22   7.0   3.9 | -16.2   2.8  245  40 21   7.2   3.9
 24000 -15.0   5.0  230  39 20   7.0   3.9 | -14.2   6.4  240  37 19   6.6   3.6
 23000 -12.9   8.8  230  35 18   7.0   3.9 | -12.2  10.0  240  35 18   6.6   3.6
 22000 -10.7  12.7  230  31 16   6.8   3.8 | -10.3  13.5  240  32 16   6.7   3.7
 21000  -8.8  16.2  235  31 16   6.8   3.7 |  -8.3  17.1  240  30 15   6.7   3.7
 20000  -6.8  19.8  240  31 16   7.0   3.8 |  -6.3  20.7  240  27 14   6.7   3.7
 19500  -5.9  21.4  240  31 16   7.2   4.0 |  -5.3  22.5  240  26 13   6.7   3.7
 19000  -4.9  23.2  245  31 16   7.0   3.8 |  -4.4  24.1  240  25 13   7.0   3.9
 18500  -3.9  25.0  245  30 16   7.2   3.9 |  -3.4  25.9  245  24 12   7.1   3.9
 18000  -3.0  26.6  245  30 15   7.1   3.9 |  -2.4  27.7  250  24 12   7.1   3.9
 17500  -2.0  28.4  250  30 15   6.8   3.7 |  -1.4  29.5  255  23 12   7.1   3.9
 17000  -1.0  30.2  250  30 15   6.8   3.7 |  -0.5  31.1  255  23 12   7.2   4.0
 16500  -0.0  32.0  255  29 15   6.9   3.8 |   0.5  32.9  260  22 11   6.5   3.6
 16000   1.0  33.8  255  27 14   6.9   3.8 |   1.4  34.5  260  19 10   6.6   3.6
 15500   2.4  36.3  260  22 11   6.2   3.4 |   2.3  36.1  260  16  8   6.6   3.6
 15000   3.2  37.8  260  17  9   6.2   3.4 |   3.6  38.5  245  12  6   6.5   3.6
 14500   4.2  39.6  260  14  7   7.4   4.1 |   4.6  40.3  240  12  6   7.4   4.0
 14000   5.2  41.4  255  14  7   7.7   4.2 |   5.6  42.1  230  12  6   7.4   4.1
 13500   6.3  43.3  245  14  7   7.1   3.9 |   6.6  43.9  220  13  7   6.2   3.4
 13000   7.2  45.0  240  16  8   7.6   4.2 |   7.7  45.9  215  14  7  10.0   5.5
 12500   8.3  46.9  235  16  8   7.5   4.1 |   9.0  48.2  210  14  7   9.1   5.0
 12000   9.3  48.7  230  16  8   8.7   4.8 |  10.2  50.4  210  14  7   9.6   5.3
 11750   9.9  49.8  225  16  8  10.1   5.5 |  11.0  51.8  210  14  7  10.9   6.0
 11500  10.6  51.1  225  16  8   9.6   5.3 |  11.8  53.2  210  13  7  10.3   5.6
 11250  11.3  52.3  225  16  8   9.5   5.2 |  12.5  54.5  210  13  7   9.8   5.4
 11000  12.0  53.6  220  16  8   9.4   5.1 |  13.2  55.8  210  13  7   9.7   5.3
 10750  12.8  55.0  220  16  8  10.5   5.7 |  14.0  57.2  210  13  7  10.5   5.8
 10500  13.6  56.5  220  16  8  11.3   6.2 |  14.8  58.6  210  13  7  10.8   5.9
 10250  14.4  57.9  220  16  8  10.7   5.8 |  15.6  60.1  210  13  7   9.9   5.5
 10000  15.2  59.4  220  16  8  11.3   6.2 |  16.3  61.3  210  13  7  10.0   5.5
  9750  16.0  60.8  220  16  8   9.2   5.0 |  17.0  62.6  210  12  6   9.5   5.2
  9500  16.8  62.2  220  15  8  15.2   8.3 |  17.8  64.0  210  12  6  12.8   7.0
  9250  18.5  65.3  220  14  7  32.8  18.0 |  19.0  66.2  205  11  6  20.7  11.4
  9000  20.6  69.1  215  13  7  12.7   7.0 |  20.4  68.7  205  10  5  14.3   7.9
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

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