819
FXUS64 KSJT 191118
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
618 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Wind Advisory and Red Flag Warning remain in effect across all
  of West Central Texas through this evening for gusty west to
  northwesterly winds with gusts ranging from 35 to 50 mph.

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will continue
  across most of west central Texas this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 232 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Very dry and windy conditions will persist through this afternoon,
as RH values remain in the 5 to 15 percent range and winds
shift to the west to northwest with gusts as high as 50 mph
possible today. As a result, the Red Flag Warning and Wind
Advisory will remain in effect today across all of West Central
Texas through this evening to cover the gusty winds and Critical
Fire Weather conditions. Winds are expect to gradually diminish
this evening into the overnight hours tonight with slightly better
relative humidity recoveries overnight into the 40 to 50 percent
range compared to last nights little to no RH recovery.

As for temperatures, the cold air advection behind the front this
morning will keep cooler temperatures in the low 60s to low 70s
for high temperatures today. Overnight lows tonight will fall into
the low to mid 30s with some low-lying areas potentially falling
just below freezing overnight tonight into early Thursday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 414 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Westerly flow aloft will prevail into the weekend as flat ridging
sets up over west central Texas. Thursday will be mostly sunny
with pleasant temperatures. Highs will be in the mid 60s to lower
70s, with overnight lows in the 40s. Temperatures will warm back
up into the 80s for Friday and Saturday. Another front is forecast
to move into the Big Country on Sunday afternoon and through the
rest of the area during the evening hours. Highs will be slightly
cooler on Monday and warm back up on Tuesday. Otherwise, no
precipitation is expected through the next seven days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Strong winds and blowing dust pushed through the area overnight
last night and into this morning, with little to no reprieve
before winds begin to increase again this morning across much of
the area. Dust continues to cause visibility restrictions and MVFR
to IFR ceilings across all terminals except for KABI which has
cleared out. Expect strong west to northwesterly winds gusting
from 30 to 40 knots across the area through this
afternoon and evening, then diminishing to light and variable
tonight into Thursday. The "dust will settle" briefly before winds
pick up again around 14Z to 16Z and bring the potential for more
dust to get kicked up and reduce visibilities again today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  35  67  47 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  69  34  68  44 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  33  71  42 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   68  32  67  39 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  64  36  66  47 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       68  35  67  44 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       69  35  67  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Brown-Callahan-
Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Kimble-
Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for Brown-Callahan-
Coke-Coleman-Concho-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Kimble-
Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-
Shackelford-Sterling-Sutton-Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...TP