Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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906 FXUS62 KMLB 050150 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 950 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 923 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 Activity is once again diminishing as of 930PM. Isolated showers are ongoing across Lake and Orange counties, with these showers moving southward around 10 mph. This activity will dissipate or move out of the local area over the next hour or two. Otherwise, mostly dry conditions are expected through tonight. East to southeast winds will become light and variable overnight before becoming northeast and increasing to 5-10 mph by late Friday morning. Warm and muggy conditions are forecast tonight, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 819 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 VFR conditions outside of convection through the TAF period. Scattered showers and storms ongoing, mainly in from LEE southward. Activity is diminishing, should dissipate or move out of the area over the next hour or two. Have included TEMPO for LEE through 1Z. Otherwise, dry overnight with light and variable winds at all terminals. Light winds will become northeast and increase to 5-10KT by late morning, becoming easterly in the afternoon behind the east coast sea breeze. VCTS for all inland terminals and VCSH for all coastal terminals starting at 17Z. Activity should diminish shortly after sundown. Winds will become light and variable once again Friday night. && .MARINE... Issued at 238 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 Generally favorable boating conditions this holiday weekend within a weak pressure gradient environment supporting light and variable winds, with the sea breeze enhancing the onshore flow each afternoon at 8-10 knots. Seas 2-3 ft thru early next week. Rain and lightning storm chances will be below normal through Saturday then southerly flow and increased moisture returns Sunday and Monday which will increase rain chances. Offshore flow is forecast to develop by mid week with storms pushing offshore late in the day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 77 92 75 93 / 10 20 10 30 MCO 77 93 76 95 / 30 60 10 40 MLB 78 91 76 92 / 10 30 10 30 VRB 76 91 75 92 / 10 30 10 40 LEE 78 95 77 95 / 50 60 10 50 SFB 77 94 76 95 / 20 40 10 40 ORL 78 94 77 95 / 30 60 10 40 FPR 76 91 76 92 / 10 40 10 40 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Watson