Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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550
UXUS97 KPUB 291202
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0602 MDT Saturday, June 29, 2024

This forecast is for the Air Force Academy for Saturday, June 29, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 72.6 F/22.5 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1200 ft/min (6.1 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 18061 ft MSL (10444 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 80.0 F/27.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1600 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 13689 ft MSL (6072 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 06/30....... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:36:55 / 20:28:58 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 52 min 3 sec (892 min 3 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:56 MDT... 74.17 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/29/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15958 ft MSL (8341 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16238 ft MSL (8621 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16881 ft MSL (9264 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -0.8
K index......................... +26.9

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.1 -83.4   270   58   30   1.7   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -59.5 -75.1   265   69   35   5.5   3.0      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -51.0 -59.8   265   67   35   6.9   3.8      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -46.9 -52.4   265   57   29   6.9   3.8      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -42.3 -44.1   265   45   23   7.9   4.4      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -37.3 -35.1   265   37   19   8.4   4.6      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -32.2 -26.0   265   28   15   8.4   4.6      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -27.7 -17.9   270   25   13   7.6   4.1   41.3 106.4    11.4      M    M
 29000  -25.5 -13.9   270   24   12   7.6   4.2   40.6 105.0    11.0      M    M
 28000  -23.2  -9.8   270   23   12   7.2   3.9   39.8 103.7    10.5      M    M
 27000  -21.1  -6.0   275   23   12   7.2   3.9   38.7 101.7     9.7      M    M
 26000  -19.0  -2.2   280   24   12   7.2   4.0   37.8 100.0     9.0      M    M
 25000  -16.9   1.6   285   24   12   7.0   3.8   37.0  98.6     8.4      M    M
 24000  -15.1   4.8   280   22   12   5.7   3.1   35.5  96.0     7.3      M    M
 23000  -13.3   8.1   275   21   11   5.7   3.1   34.1  93.4     6.2      M    M
 22000  -11.6  11.1   270   19   10   5.5   3.0   32.8  91.0     5.2      M    M
 21000   -9.8  14.4   265   19   10   4.9   2.7   30.6  87.1     3.2      M    M
 20000   -8.5  16.7   260   19   10   5.2   2.8   29.0  84.2     1.7      M    M
 19500   -7.8  18.0   260   19   10   6.1   3.4   28.3  82.9     1.0      M    M
 19000   -6.7  19.9   255   19   10   8.0   4.4   27.9  82.2     0.6      M    M
 18500   -5.6  21.9   250   20   10   8.1   4.4   27.6  81.7     0.3      M    M
 18000   -4.5  23.9   250   20   11   8.4   4.6   27.3  81.2    -0.1    988  5.0
 17500   -3.3  26.1   245   21   11   8.4   4.6   27.1  80.8    -0.4    937  4.8
 17000   -2.1  28.2   245   21   11   8.0   4.4   26.9  80.4    -0.6    887  4.5
 16500   -1.1  30.0   245   20   10   7.1   3.9   26.5  79.6    -1.1    841  4.3
 16000   -0.0  32.0   245   19   10   7.0   3.9   26.0  78.9    -1.5    795  4.0
 15500    1.0  33.8   240   17    9   7.5   4.1   25.6  78.1    -1.9    749  3.8
 15000    2.1  35.8   235   15    8   7.5   4.1   25.3  77.5    -2.3    703  3.6
 14500    3.2  37.8   230   14    7   8.5   4.6   25.0  76.9    -2.7    655  3.3
 14000    4.4  39.9   230   13    6   8.7   4.8   24.8  76.6    -2.9    602  3.1
 13500    5.7  42.3   225   12    6   8.2   4.5   24.6  76.4    -3.1    549  2.8
 13000    6.9  44.4   220   11    6   7.7   4.3   24.3  75.8    -3.4    499  2.5
 12500    8.2  46.8   215   11    6   9.4   5.2   24.2  75.5    -3.5    444  2.3
 12000    9.5  49.1   215    9    5   8.3   4.5   24.0  75.2    -3.7    392  2.0
 11750   10.1  50.2   215    8    4   8.3   4.5   23.9  75.0    -3.9    366  1.9
 11500   10.7  51.3   220    8    4   6.9   3.8   23.7  74.7    -4.0    342  1.7
 11250   11.1  52.0   220    7    4   5.5   3.0   23.4  74.2    -4.3    321  1.6
 11000   11.5  52.7   225    6    3   5.4   3.0   23.1  73.6    -4.6    301  1.5
 10750   11.9  53.4   230    5    3   5.7   3.1   22.8  73.0    -5.0    282  1.4
 10500   12.3  54.1   240    4    2   4.7   2.6   22.4  72.4    -5.3    263  1.3
 10250   12.5  54.5   265    3    2   0.2   0.1   21.9  71.4    -5.9    249  1.3
 10000   12.4  54.3   295    4    2  -1.9  -1.1   21.0  69.9    -6.7    245  1.2
  9750   12.3  54.1   315    5    3  -1.3  -0.7   20.2  68.3    -7.6    241  1.2
  9500   12.2  54.0   325    7    4  -1.6  -0.9   19.3  66.8    -8.4    238  1.2
  9250   12.0  53.6   335    9    5  -4.9  -2.7   18.4  65.1    -9.4    236  1.2
  9000   11.4  52.5   335   11    6  -8.4  -4.6   17.1  62.8   -10.7    245  1.2
  8750   10.8  51.4   335   14    7  -9.1  -5.0   15.7  60.2   -12.1    257  1.3
  8500   10.1  50.2   340   16    8  -7.4  -4.1   14.3  57.7   -13.5    269  1.4
  8250    9.7  49.5   335   19   10  -4.9  -2.7   13.1  55.6   -14.6    274  1.4
  8000    9.5  49.1   330   21   11   0.2   0.1   12.2  53.9   -15.6    273  1.4
  7750    9.8  49.6   330   21   11   6.9   3.8   11.7  53.1   -16.1    256  1.3
  7500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           06/29/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       06/29/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...    +1.4    LI...       -1.6        | CAPE...  +142.2    LI...       -1.9
CINH...    -1.5    K Index... +25.6        | CINH...  -104.1    K Index... +25.2
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -64.3 -83.7  280  55 28   1.7   0.9 | -63.9 -83.0  285  47 24   1.9   1.0
 45000 -59.5 -75.1  275  67 34   5.7   3.1 | -59.0 -74.2  280  58 30   5.8   3.2
 40000 -50.6 -59.1  265  66 34   7.5   4.1 | -49.4 -56.9  265  61 31   7.4   4.1
 38000 -46.2 -51.2  260  58 30   7.5   4.1 | -44.9 -48.8  260  59 30   7.4   4.1
 36000 -41.2 -42.2  260  49 25   7.1   3.9 | -40.4 -40.7  260  56 29   6.9   3.8
 34000 -37.0 -34.6  250  37 19   7.0   3.8 | -36.4 -33.5  255  49 25   6.7   3.7
 32000 -32.8 -27.0  230  28 14   7.8   4.3 | -32.4 -26.3  250  42 22   6.8   3.7
 30000 -28.1 -18.6  230  25 13   7.8   4.3 | -28.2 -18.8  250  33 17   7.0   3.9
 29000 -25.8 -14.4  230  25 13   7.8   4.3 | -26.1 -15.0  245  28 15   7.1   3.9
 28000 -23.5 -10.3  230  24 12   7.6   4.2 | -24.0 -11.2  245  24 13   7.3   4.0
 27000 -21.2  -6.2  235  22 12   7.6   4.2 | -21.8  -7.2  245  23 12   7.3   4.0
 26000 -19.0  -2.2  235  21 11   7.7   4.2 | -19.7  -3.5  250  22 11   7.4   4.1
 25000 -16.7   1.9  235  20 10   7.1   3.9 | -17.6   0.3  250  21 11   7.1   3.9
 24000 -14.9   5.2  245  20 10   5.8   3.2 | -15.2   4.6  250  21 11   6.3   3.4
 23000 -13.2   8.2  250  20 10   5.9   3.2 | -13.3   8.1  245  20 11   6.3   3.4
 22000 -11.5  11.3  255  21 11   5.5   3.0 | -11.5  11.3  245  20 10   6.1   3.4
 21000  -9.8  14.4  255  21 11   4.9   2.7 |  -9.7  14.5  240  21 11   6.2   3.4
 20000  -8.4  16.9  255  21 11   5.0   2.7 |  -7.9  17.8  235  21 11   6.3   3.4
 19500  -7.7  18.1  255  21 11   6.2   3.4 |  -7.0  19.4  235  21 11   7.3   4.0
 19000  -6.6  20.1  255  20 10   7.6   4.2 |  -5.8  21.6  230  21 11   8.2   4.5
 18500  -5.5  22.1  250  19 10   7.8   4.3 |  -4.6  23.7  230  21 11   8.3   4.6
 18000  -4.4  24.1  245  18  9   7.6   4.2 |  -3.4  25.9  230  21 11   7.8   4.3
 17500  -3.4  25.9  245  18  9   7.7   4.2 |  -2.3  27.9  230  21 11   7.8   4.3
 17000  -2.3  27.9  245  18  9   7.5   4.1 |  -1.2  29.8  230  21 11   7.7   4.2
 16500  -1.2  29.8  240  17  9   7.4   4.0 |  -0.1  31.8  230  21 11   7.5   4.1
 16000  -0.2  31.6  240  17  9   7.4   4.1 |   1.0  33.8  230  21 11   7.5   4.1
 15500   1.0  33.8  235  16  8   8.5   4.7 |   2.1  35.8  230  20 10   7.4   4.1
 15000   2.2  36.0  230  16  8   8.5   4.6 |   3.1  37.6  225  19 10   7.5   4.1
 14500   3.4  38.1  225  16  8   7.9   4.4 |   4.1  39.4  225  18  9   7.0   3.8
 14000   4.6  40.3  220  16  8   7.9   4.3 |   5.1  41.2  220  18  9   7.0   3.9
 13500   5.7  42.3  220  16  8   6.8   3.7 |   6.0  42.8  215  17  9   6.8   3.7
 13000   6.6  43.9  205  16  8   6.2   3.4 |   7.0  44.6  210  18  9   6.7   3.7
 12500   7.6  45.7  200  16  8   6.4   3.5 |   8.1  46.6  205  19 10   7.4   4.1
 12000   8.5  47.3  195  15  8   6.4   3.5 |   9.2  48.6  200  19 10   6.7   3.7
 11750   9.0  48.2  190  15  8   6.1   3.3 |   9.7  49.5  195  20 10   6.9   3.8
 11500   9.4  48.9  185  15  8   6.3   3.4 |  10.2  50.4  195  20 10   7.1   3.9
 11250   9.9  49.8  185  15  7   7.2   3.9 |  10.7  51.3  195  19 10   6.7   3.7
 11000  10.5  50.9  180  14  7   7.6   4.2 |  11.2  52.2  195  18  9   6.4   3.5
 10750  11.0  51.8  180  13  7   7.0   3.8 |  11.7  53.1  195  18  9   6.9   3.8
 10500  11.6  52.9  175  13  7   9.0   4.9 |  12.2  54.0  195  17  9   5.4   3.0
 10250  12.3  54.1  175  12  6   8.3   4.6 |  12.5  54.5  195  16  8   4.3   2.4
 10000  12.7  54.9  180  10  5   5.6   3.1 |  12.8  55.0  190  15  8   5.0   2.7
  9750  13.2  55.8  180   8  4   7.0   3.9 |  13.1  55.6  190  14  7   4.8   2.6
  9500  13.6  56.5  185   6  3   3.9   2.2 |  13.5  56.3  185  13  6   4.8   2.6
  9250  13.7  56.7  200   3  2  -1.1  -0.6 |  13.8  56.8  180  10  5   6.5   3.6
  9000  13.5  56.3  275   2  1  -2.2  -1.2 |  14.3  57.7  170   7  4   8.4   4.6
  8750  13.3  55.9  315   5  2  -2.8  -1.6 |  14.9  58.8  155   5  3   8.3   4.6
  8500  13.1  55.6  325   7  4  -0.8  -0.4 |  15.5  59.9  120   4  2   8.9   4.9
  8250  13.2  55.8  335   9  5   1.9   1.0 |  16.2  61.2  100   4  2  10.1   5.5
  8000  13.4  56.1  340  10  5   4.8   2.7 |  16.9  62.4  090   4  2   8.8   4.8
  7750  14.1  57.4  345  10  5  17.6   9.7 |  17.7  63.9  085   5  2  15.7   8.6
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           06/29/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       06/29/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +513.0    LI...       -2.8        | CAPE...  +394.0    LI...       -3.2
CINH...   -72.8    K Index... +22.8        | CINH...  -117.5    K Index... +25.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -64.1 -83.4  280  38 20   2.8   1.5 | -64.5 -84.1  275  33 17   3.9   2.2
 45000 -58.0 -72.4  280  49 25   5.6   3.1 | -57.1 -70.8  275  39 20   6.3   3.4
 40000 -49.2 -56.6  270  55 28   7.1   3.9 | -47.9 -54.2  265  48 25   5.5   3.0
 38000 -45.0 -49.0  265  58 30   7.1   3.9 | -44.6 -48.3  265  59 30   5.5   3.0
 36000 -40.8 -41.4  260  62 32   7.4   4.0 | -40.6 -41.1  265  68 35   8.7   4.7
 34000 -35.6 -32.1  260  56 29   7.6   4.2 | -35.7 -32.3  265  58 30   8.3   4.6
 32000 -31.0 -23.8  260  50 26   6.9   3.8 | -30.7 -23.3  260  48 24   8.6   4.7
 30000 -27.4 -17.3  260  38 20   6.1   3.4 | -26.4 -15.5  255  38 19   7.2   4.0
 29000 -25.6 -14.1  255  33 17   6.1   3.4 | -24.3 -11.7  255  33 17   7.2   4.0
 28000 -23.6 -10.5  255  28 15   7.3   4.0 | -22.3  -8.1  250  29 15   4.8   2.6
 27000 -21.5  -6.7  255  27 14   7.2   3.9 | -20.9  -5.6  245  26 14   5.0   2.7
 26000 -19.4  -2.9  250  25 13   7.2   3.9 | -19.4  -2.9  245  24 12   5.0   2.8
 25000 -17.2   1.0  250  23 12   6.9   3.8 | -17.9  -0.2  240  22 11   6.4   3.5
 24000 -15.3   4.5  250  22 11   6.7   3.7 | -15.6   3.9  240  20 10   7.5   4.1
 23000 -13.3   8.1  245  21 11   6.7   3.7 | -13.4   7.9  245  18  9   7.5   4.1
 22000 -11.4  11.5  245  20 11   6.8   3.7 | -11.2  11.8  245  16  8   7.0   3.8
 21000  -9.4  15.1  245  20 10   6.7   3.7 |  -8.7  16.3  245  14  7   6.7   3.7
 20000  -6.9  19.6  245  20 10   6.7   3.7 |  -6.8  19.8  245  12  6   6.7   3.7
 19500  -5.9  21.4  245  20 10   7.4   4.0 |  -5.8  21.6  245  11  6   7.6   4.2
 19000  -4.8  23.4  240  20 11   7.7   4.2 |  -4.6  23.7  240  11  5   8.0   4.4
 18500  -3.7  25.3  240  21 11   7.7   4.2 |  -3.4  25.9  235  10  5   8.0   4.4
 18000  -2.5  27.5  240  21 11   8.1   4.5 |  -2.3  27.9  230  12  6   7.8   4.3
 17500  -1.4  29.5  240  21 11   8.1   4.5 |  -1.2  29.8  225  13  7   7.9   4.3
 17000  -0.2  31.6  235  22 11   8.6   4.7 |  -0.1  31.8  225  15  8   8.0   4.4
 16500   1.1  34.0  235  22 11   8.8   4.9 |   1.0  33.8  225  16  8   8.1   4.5
 16000   2.4  36.3  230  22 11   8.8   4.8 |   2.1  35.8  220  16  8   8.2   4.5
 15500   3.6  38.5  230  21 11   8.0   4.4 |   3.3  37.9  220  16  8   8.0   4.4
 15000   4.7  40.5  225  21 11   8.2   4.5 |   4.4  39.9  215  15  8   8.0   4.4
 14500   5.7  42.3  225  19 10   7.1   3.9 |   5.5  41.9  215  15  8   7.8   4.3
 14000   6.7  44.1  225  16  8   7.2   4.0 |   6.7  44.1  210  14  7   7.8   4.3
 13500   7.6  45.7  220  14  7   6.6   3.6 |   7.7  45.9  205  13  7   6.3   3.4
 13000   8.5  47.3  210  16  8   6.4   3.5 |   8.5  47.3  200  14  7   5.8   3.2
 12500   9.4  48.9  205  16  8   6.2   3.4 |   9.5  49.1  195  14  7   6.0   3.3
 12000  10.0  50.0  205  17  9   4.9   2.7 |  10.0  50.0  195  16  8   4.1   2.2
 11750  10.4  50.7  200  17  9   5.6   3.1 |  10.2  50.4  190  16  8   4.2   2.3
 11500  10.7  51.3  195  17  9   4.7   2.6 |  10.5  50.9  190  17  9   3.9   2.2
 11250  10.9  51.6  190  16  8   2.6   1.4 |  10.7  51.3  190  18  9   3.3   1.8
 11000  11.1  52.0  185  15  8   2.6   1.4 |  10.9  51.6  190  18  9   3.0   1.6
 10750  11.3  52.3  180  14  7   2.3   1.2 |  11.1  52.0  190  18  9   4.4   2.4
 10500  11.4  52.5  175  14  7   3.6   2.0 |  11.2  52.2  190  19 10  -0.9  -0.5
 10250  11.8  53.2  165  13  7   7.6   4.2 |  10.9  51.6  185  18  9  -1.6  -0.9
 10000  12.5  54.5  165  13  7   9.3   5.1 |  11.1  52.0  185  18  9   3.2   1.8
  9750  13.1  55.6  160  14  7   8.3   4.5 |  11.2  52.2  180  18  9   1.9   1.1
  9500  13.8  56.8  155  14  7  10.6   5.8 |  11.3  52.3  175  18  9   2.3   1.3
  9250  14.7  58.5  155  14  7  11.7   6.4 |  11.6  52.9  175  18  9   4.7   2.6
  9000  15.5  59.9  155  14  7  10.1   5.5 |  12.1  53.8  170  18  9   7.7   4.2
  8750  16.2  61.2  155  14  7  10.0   5.5 |  12.6  54.7  165  18  9   7.7   4.2
  8500  16.9  62.4  155  14  7  10.4   5.7 |  13.2  55.8  165  18  9   9.2   5.1
  8250  17.8  64.0  155  14  7  11.5   6.3 |  14.0  57.2  165  18  9  11.0   6.0
  8000  18.6  65.5  155  14  7   9.6   5.3 |  14.8  58.6  165  17  9   9.0   5.0
  7750  19.4  66.9  155  14  7  17.2   9.5 |  15.5  59.9  160  17  9  12.1   6.6
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613