Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
290
ACUS11 KWNS 170309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170308
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-170415-
Mesoscale Discussion 1294
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1008 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Areas affected...south-central Michigan into far northern Indiana
and Ohio
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 170308Z - 170415Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will be capable of producing
instances of strong to severe winds over the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms moving eastward across the far
south-central Michigan have a history of producing damaging wind and
a measured gust up to 76 mph near Kalamazoo, MI. This line of
thunderstorms is moving into a drier and more stable airmass to the
east, where dew points are in the mid to upper 50s with MLCAPE
decreasing to <500 J/kg. As such, this line is expected to weaken in
the next 1-2 hours, limiting the severe threat with eastward extent.
New convection has developed to the south and west of this line,
which also may pose a risk for occasional strong to severe wind
before moving into the more stable air to the east.
..Thornton/Smith.. 06/17/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...
LAT...LON 41378553 41408644 42028627 42338574 43008494 42908411
42718398 42208384 41648394 41508501 41378553