Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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239 FXUS65 KABQ 021755 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 - Remaining dry with highs generally around 5 to 15 degrees above average this week. - Breezy conditions across the central highlands Tuesday and eastern highlands and east central plains Thursday. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 Exquisite fall weather continues across the Land of Enchantment after moving the clocks back an hour on this first Sunday of November. A 589 to 590 dam upper high at 500 mb is moving overhead resulting in warmer temperatures compared to yesterday. The most noticeable warming is across eastern NM with temperatures around 15 to 20 degrees warmer, due to light downslope southwest and west winds. After a milder than normal Sunday night for early November, the upper high shifts to the Texas Big Bend on Monday with light southwest flow and a band of high clouds moving across the state. Temperatures across northeast NM cool down around 10 to 15 degrees and closer to seasonal averages due to a weak backdoor front moving through Monday morning. Temperatures still around 10 to 15 degrees above average across the rest of the state. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 Brisk westerly flow of 25 to 30 kts at 700 mb on Tuesday will result in breezy winds across the central highlands and localized areas of the east central plains along I-40. Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above average across western and central NM and around 15 to 20 degrees above average across the eastern plains due to the downslope westerly flow. A weak upper level ridge moves over the Intermountain West on Wednesday with light winds and temperatures around 10 degrees above average areawide. Temperatures across northeast NM will be around 5 to 10 degrees cooler than Tuesday due to another weak backdoor front moving through Wednesday morning. Still looking at the breeziest day of the week to be Thursday. 700 mb winds increase to 25 to 35 kts across the state south of an upper level trough moving across the northern and central Rockies. This along with a ~1005 mb surface lee low across far northeast NM will result in max wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph across the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, northeast and central highlands, and east central plains along the I-40 corridor. Slightly cooler, but still around 5 to 10 degrees above average, with generally light winds areawide on Friday behind the Pacific and backdoor fronts. Upper level northwest flow overhead on Saturday in the wake of a longwave trough diving southeast over the north central U.S. This longwave trough will help send another backdoor front into northeast and east central NM keeping highs steady there with some compressional warming of 3 to 5 degrees across southeast NM south of the front. The backdoor front looks through the rest of eastern NM and through the gaps of the central mountain chain Saturday night into Sunday morning. Meanwhile, a ridge over the Great Basin Saturday moves over the state on Sunday. This will result in temperatures around 5 to 10 degrees above average west of the central mountain chain and near average temperatures along and east of the central mountain chain. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 VFR conditions with generally light winds. Band of high clouds moving into western NM with another brisk north drainage wind at KSAF Monday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1055 AM MST Sun Nov 2 2025 No critical fire weather conditions are expected through next weekend. Good to very good ventilation across the western and central high terrain Monday as westerly flow begins to increase. Elevated fire weather conditions along with good to very good ventilation across the highlands and east central plains on Tuesday and the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, northeast and central highlands, and east central plains along the I-40 corridor on Thursday due to breezy west winds and ERCs around to just above average for this time of year. Max wind gusts potentially around 45 mph across the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and central highlands (i.e. Clines Corners and Vaughn) on Thursday. Fair to locally good ventilation across the far northeast highlands on Friday and the eastern highlands and southeast plains Saturday before becoming generally poor areawide next Sunday as another upper level ridge moves overhead and a backdoor front sweeping through eastern New Mexico Saturday night. Minimum relative humidity values will be 15-25% most days with fair to good recoveries each night. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 37 71 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 27 71 26 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 36 70 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 28 73 28 70 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 36 71 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 26 75 31 72 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 36 74 34 70 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 43 73 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 39 73 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 33 77 32 76 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 39 81 38 79 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 32 67 30 62 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 43 70 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 43 70 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 40 69 39 65 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 35 62 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 16 66 26 63 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 26 72 30 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 41 70 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 35 76 36 73 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 44 70 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 38 72 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 49 75 48 73 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 43 76 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 41 78 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 44 75 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 37 77 37 77 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 42 77 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 37 77 36 76 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 42 77 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 38 77 38 76 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 46 73 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 43 75 43 76 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 43 79 44 79 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 43 70 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 44 71 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 37 73 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 26 75 31 72 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 40 68 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 40 73 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 40 73 41 71 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 44 75 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 44 72 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 38 63 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 37 68 36 74 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 35 70 36 76 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 40 68 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 43 65 47 80 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 40 65 40 77 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 38 72 41 83 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 41 73 41 79 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 39 73 44 83 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 44 79 45 82 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 43 81 44 83 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 40 78 40 83 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 41 80 41 83 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 46 79 46 82 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 43 79 44 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...71 LONG TERM....71 AVIATION...71