Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
534 FXUS64 KEPZ 100513 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1013 PM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1009 PM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week. - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual warming trend will occur this week with near record highs possible Thursday and Friday. - A back door cold front will bring some breezy to windy conditions to the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1009 PM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 No changes from previous forecast packages as a quiet weather pattern persists over the Desert Southwest through the work week and into the weekend. Strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will continue to promote dry northwesterly flow over the Borderland Region. All in all, expect quiet and fair weather conditions through the work week and weekend. High temperatures will continue to increase each day with highs becoming 10-17 degrees above average Wednesday through Friday. The warmest temperatures will be on Thursday and Friday, with near record values across the desert lowlands. Cloud coverage will be a minimum with instances of high level cirrus from time to time. Winds each afternoon will be light to low-end breezy, typical diurnal wind flow regime. Quiet and fair weather conditions continue this weekend. Model guidance is hinting at a cold front moving in from the east during the weekend timeframe with temperatures cooling back to the middle to upper 60s. The benign and pleasant weather patterns will continue into next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1009 PM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 VMC expected through the TAF period with skies SKC to FEW250. Winds light at 5-10 knots, generally out of the N/NE. Winds will become light and VRB around 12Z. Low-end breezy winds (10-15 knots) develop tomorrow afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 956 AM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 Warm and dry weather continues through the forecast period. Winds will generally be under 15 mph but could get a little gusty at times on mountain peaks. With temperatures warming into the 60s and even some lower 70s by Thu, RH`s will fall into the mid teens to upper 20s. A back door cold front is expected to drop temps 5-15 degrees for Sunday, but gusty east winds will move through the area Saturday night into Sunday morning. Vent rates will be poor to low end fair the next couple of days. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 68 40 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 61 34 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 65 35 66 37 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 66 34 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 48 30 52 34 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 64 38 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 65 37 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 69 35 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 68 35 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 66 41 66 42 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 65 30 69 33 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 69 36 71 37 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 60 38 60 40 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 68 35 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 65 36 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 66 42 67 45 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 66 33 66 35 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 69 34 70 35 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 68 37 69 39 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 64 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 55 34 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 59 32 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 55 30 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 61 32 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 64 39 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 65 32 66 35 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 67 32 68 33 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 66 35 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 72 34 72 34 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 69 35 69 34 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 65 38 67 41 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 69 35 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 67 34 69 36 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 68 36 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 66 41 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...38-Rogers