Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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318
FXUS65 KFGZ 040443
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
943 PM MST Mon Nov 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm conditions conditions will continue
through the coming week, along with occasional afternoon breezes.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Another quiet weather week is in store. A weak
shortwave is moving through northern AZ today. Daytime highs are
a few degrees cooler than yesterday, but still seasonably warm as
500 mb heights sit above normal for early November. The shortwave
is also helping to kick up some breezy southwest winds through
the rest of the afternoon, and look to linger through the middle
of the week. After the shortwave passes we enter a more zonal flow
regime where seasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions
prevail.

&&

.AVIATION...Tuesday 04/06Z through Wednesday 05/06Z...VFR
conditions. Local haze/smoke possible from prescribed burns.
Light and variable wind overnight. Southwest winds 10-15 kts with
gusts to 20 kts redeveloping after 18Z Tue then decreasing again
after 02Z.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 05/06Z through Friday 07/06Z...VFR conditions.
Local haze/smoke possible from prescribed burns. Southwest winds
10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts Wednesday afternoon, west to
northwest 5-15 kts Thursday afternoon. Winds mainly light and
variable during the overnight periods.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Tuesday and Wednesday...Mild and dry weather will
continue. South to southwest winds 5-15 mph with gusts of 20-25 mph
each afternoon. Minimum RH between 10-20% both days.

Thursday through Saturday...Mild and dry conditions. Light west to
northwest winds at 5-15 mph Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, winds
light and mainly terrain driven at less than 10 mph the remainder of
the period.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Lewandowski
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff