932
FXUS64 KFWD 291151
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
551 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hazardous travel impacts due to lingering ice and re-freezing on
  roads will continue across North Texas this morning.

- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
  Saturday into Sunday. Wind chills on Saturday will range from
  -5 to 15 degrees.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Cloud cover has prevented a large portion of North and Central
Texas from reaching the freezing mark. This morning`s update makes
minor adjustments to the hourly forecast over the next couple of
hours, following the ongoing temperature trend.

In addition to the temperature update, the potential for freezing
fog has diminished enough to remove from the official forecast.
With dew point depressions remaining in the 5-10 degree range, the
fog potential is now looking less likely. Nonetheless, black ice
continues to be a hazard across parts of the region that have
dipped below 32 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Southerly winds are now in place across North and Central Texas in
response to an area of low pressure currently developing along the
Front Range. The southerly winds, in combination with the high
clouds invading from the west, will prevent temperatures from
plunging into the teens to lower 20s. Instead, by sunrise today,
temperatures will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.

Prior to sunrise, we`ll begin to see the advection of slightly
more humid air into the region. Given a relatively cool surface
after several days of cold temperatures, the development of fog is
expected once again this morning. With temperatures below 32
degrees across the region, freezing fog will once again be a
concern, mainly east of I-35.

Today will be the warmest day this week as temperatures rise into
the 50s to lower 60s. The exception will along the immediate Red
River Valley where another cold front will begin moving southward
this afternoon. As the front moves through, cooler temperatures
will begin to usher in this evening and tonight along with breezy
winds between 15-20 mph. Tonight`s lows will quickly dip below the
freezing mark with much of the region in the 20s by Friday
morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

After this afternoon`s cold front, temperatures tomorrow will only
reach the lower 40s to lower 50s. Low clouds will likely be in
place during the morning hours with a gradual clearing of skies
the rest of the day.

A much stronger cold front is slated to move across the region
Friday night into Saturday morning. This cold front will usher in
another round of Arctic air, being funneled into the region by the
elongated area of high pressure in the Central Plains.
Temperatures Friday night will be in the teens in North Texas and
lower to mid 20s in Central Texas. Given the northerly wind in
place, wind chills along and north of I-20 Friday night into
Saturday will range from 5 degrees below zero to around 7
degrees. Central Texas will also be cold as wind chill values in
the single digits to lower teens can be expected.

Strong cold air advection on Saturday will keep high temperatures
below 32 degrees across North Texas. The coldest readings will
likely be along the Red River with upper 20s expected. With the
arctic airmass still in place Saturday night, temperatures Sunday
morning will be in the teens to lower 20s across the region. Light
winds will keep wind chills between 8 to 18 degrees.

As ridging moves east across the Plains, southerly winds will
return on Sunday, commencing a three day warming trend. Highs on
Sunday will be in the 40s/50s with 50s/60s by Monday and Tuesday.
A passing shortwave riding along the southern branch of the jet
stream will increase rain chances Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday. Rain chances will come to an end as another cold front
moves in by the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

VFR conditions are expected across North and Central Texas through
the rest of the morning and into the early part of the afternoon.
Southerly winds are in place, generally around 5-8 kts.

A cold front is continuing to move across the Central Plains,
arriving to the North Texas TAF sites between 19z-20z. A wind
shift to the northwest will likely lead to a transition to north
flow across D10. Following the wind shift, post-frontal MVFR
stratus will likely impact the region through the evening hours.
In addition to the MVFR skies, expect breezy northwesterly to
northerly winds near 20 kts.

Closer to 05z, expect sky conditions to return to VFR with winds
diminishing closer to 10 kts. Winds will remain out of the north
through the rest of this TAF cycle.


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    52  27  45  20 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                56  30  47  23 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               49  26  43  14 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              50  22  44  14 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            50  25  43  16 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              53  29  46  19 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             52  27  44  18 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           56  30  47  22 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              59  29  51  23 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       52  24  48  17 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez