Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
451 FXUS64 KFWD 300426 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Clouds clear today with quiet weather expected into the weekend. Temperatures will continue to run 5-7 degrees above normal through the week. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Overnight through Tuesday Night/ Water vapor imagery shows a trough axis spreading through West Texas at this hour with a tap into Pacific moisture resulting in thick high cloud cover across the region. A few light radar returns associated with this area of ascent are noted but most if not all of this precipitation is evaporating before hitting the ground. This disturbance will continue to move east overnight with cloud cover clearing from west to east through the day Tuesday. With mostly sunny skies expected, high temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s with a continued light easterly surface wind. Clearing skies will allow temps to drop a few degrees lower Tuesday night with readings in the low to mid 60s. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Wednesday through Monday/ A continued period of quiet weather is expected through the end of the week and into the weekend as mid level ridging will largely remain in control over the Southern Plains. By this weekend, a weak upper trough will meander westward across Louisiana while troughing amplifies over the western CONUS leaving North Texas displaced from both the better moisture to our south and better lift off to our northwest. This should continue to support a quiet forecast, although humidity may begin to tick upwards a bit by late weekend. Temperatures will continue to run 5-7 degrees above normal each afternoon with readings in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Dunn && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /6Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail through the period with thick high cloud cover clearing out later this morning. Surface winds will primarily be of easterly direction although some variability between 030-100 degrees is expected with speeds less than 10 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected through Tuesday. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 89 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 67 90 64 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 66 86 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 64 87 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 66 87 63 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 71 90 68 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 66 88 63 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 69 90 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 64 90 62 91 63 / 5 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 64 90 61 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$