Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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840 FXUS64 KHUN 050617 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1217 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1047 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 - Periods of mainly light rain or drizzle will linger shortly after daybreak. Then remaining cold and cloudy with highs only in the 40 to 45 degree range. - Fog development is expected tonight into Friday morning and again Saturday. This fog could become dense and could freeze in some areas of NW Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. - Low chances of precipitation may return to the forecast on Sunday into early next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight and Friday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 The strongest forcing has pushed east into Georgia over the last few hours. Light to moderate rainfall still lingers behind this shield of precipitation. Thus, expect a mixture of light rain and drizzle to linger in far NE ALabama until around daybreak before ending. Not expecting alot more rainfall, but another 1/10 of an inch or so could occur before ending. Some patchy fog could occur right around daybreak. However, mainly expect a cloudy and cold day. Highs with cloud cover and initial weak cold air advection this morning should only reach the 40 to 45 degree range (coolest temperatures near the AL/TN border and in portions of southern middle Tennessee). && .SHORT TERM... (Friday night through Sunday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Tonight will likely be a better setup for more at least patchy fog development across northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. As winds decouple with a surface high building over the area, winds will be very light. Luckily, most guidance still holds mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions in place though. This should mitigate the fog threat some. Wouldn`t be surprised to see some patchy dense fog, but widespread fog (especially dense) may be hard to get with such predominant cloud cover. For now included patchy/areas of fog, but no dense fog. This may need to be changed if forecast conditions warrant. Most areas should not see temperatures dropping to 32 degrees or below. However, a few locations in NW Alabama and southern middle Tennessee may around daybreak on Saturday, so a bit of freezing fog could be possible. Lows in the lower to mid 30s are expected. Zonal flow and neutral to weak warm air advection mainly sets up Saturday through Sunday. We may finally see some sunshine again during the afternoon hours on Saturday. This insolation and weak warm air advection should allow high temperatures to climb back into the 45 to 50 degree range mainly. By Saturday night, another longwave trough axis begins to swing southeast from the western Great Lakes area towards the Ohio Valley. This will likely bring some cloud cover back into the area in the evening hours and mostly cloudy conditions back into the area by daybreak on Sunday. Stronger forcing and better moisture advection pools over the area on Sunday. Lows don`t look to change much and should stay in the lower to mid 30s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 1047 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 As this longwave trough axis pushes east and an attendant cold front pushes into the area, some light showers will likely return to the forecast. Expect the better chances of rain will be mainly Sunday night into early Monday morning as longwave trough axis moves through northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. This should usher in some cooler air again early next week after its associated cold front moves east of the area. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025 MVFR to IFR CIGS are expected much of the TAF period. Some -RA around 6Z will likely become light DZ at KHSV around 8Z or 9Z. Expect some light DZ at KMSL after 06Z through 13Z. A tempo for VSBYS dropping to 2SM was included between 9Z and 13Z at KHSV and 7Z to 11Z at KMSL. CIGS should become MVFR after 13Z at KMSL and after 15Z at KHSV. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...KTW SHORT TERM....KTW LONG TERM....KTW AVIATION...KTW