265
FXUS63 KICT 111732
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1132 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and dry conditions persisting through the work-week.

- Precipitation chances will begin to increase Sunday night into
  Monday as a storm system emerges from the Southern Rockies.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 250 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Breezy south to southwest winds early this morning will diminish
quickly as the LLJ shifts eastward into the Middle Mississippi
Valley area and a sfc trough moves across the area this afternoon
allowing the pressure gradient to relax. Temperatures will quickly
rebound today with a dramatic rise in H85 temperatures progged.
Above average highs in the 60s are anticipated with a few locations
in central KS reaching the low 70s.

Wed-Fri...Mild and dry conditions will continue through the upcoming
work week as a mid/upper ridge translates slowly eastward across the
central CONUS. The pressure gradient is progged to increase once
again late in the week as a large trough impacts the western CONUS.
Highs will climb into the 70s through much of the period with lows
in the 40s and 50s with dry conditions anticipated.

Sat-Mon...A mid/upper trough emerging from the Northern Rockies will
drive a cold front south over the Central Plains late on Saturday.
Meanwhile, another mid/upper trough over the Southwest is progged to
move into the Southern Rockies on Sunday before emerging over the
Central Plains on Monday. This is much slower compared to the past
couple of days which may result in a dry weekend for much of the
area. Higher probabilities for showers and storms may not arrive
until Sunday night and Monday. Highs on Sunday will remain above
average for mid Nov, but will be lower compared to much of the week
with values topping out in the low to mid 60s. With limited
insolation and precipitation anticipated on Monday, highs will
struggle to climb above 55.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1130 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. A weak
cold front is currently progressing through central KS, shifting
winds from the southwest to northwest at 10-15 kt. This wind
shift will progress through south-central and southeast KS
this afternoon. Winds will become light and variable at all
sites near 00Z.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...BRF