Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 221134
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
534 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 256 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2020

Isentropic lift within a marginally cold airmass to support snow
will continue through the morning where surface temperatures will
hover near or just above freezing across central and southeast
Kansas. The deeper saturated lift will shift primarily across far
eastern Kansas by this afternoon with continued low level warm
advection in the southerly flow gradually warming surface
temperatures into the upper 30s with mainly scattered light rain
or drizzle across most of the area. So still expect most of the
light snow accums on grassy areas to be this morning into midday
and generally in the 1 to 2 inch range. Some patchy light drizzle
could linger into this evening before ending. Another period of
rain and snow showers is expected on Thursday, mainly from late
morning into the afternoon, as an upper trof approaches from the
northwest, becoming a closed low across eastern Kansas into
western Missouri. Steeper low level lapse rates under the upper
and sufficient moisture look to support diurnally enhanced
showers with temperatures cold enough for snow across portions of
north central/northeast into east central and southeast Kansas.
This could lead to additional light snow accums on Thursday where
a short fused Winter headline may also be needed. Otherwise,
seasonably cool and dry weather is expected for Friday.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 256 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2020

The weekend looks fairly tranquil with temperatures warming well
above seasonal climo on Sunday. The milder weather is expected to
continue through early next week before an upper trof moves into
the Plains bringing a chance for precip by mid-week.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 518 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2020

IFR and LIFR conditions have and will dominate the region for
this TAF period. Light snow and fog have dominated all terminals
this morning. Ceilings are expected to remain in the IFR category
through most of the TAF period and are not expected to improve
until late this afternoon and into the evening hours. The RSL and
GBD will see the rain and snow come to an end by late morning
today. HUT and ICT will see the snow change over to a mix of rain
and snow and then all rain by mid morning. Once the snow changes
over to rain, the rain itself will start come to an end a few
hours later. SLN is likely to be the last terminal to see an end
to the precipitation end in the early afternoon. CNU will continue
to have some snow into the mid morning but CNU will to change
over to a mix of rain and snow and then all rain by the mid to
late morning. Rain will also come to an end by the early
afternoon. Unfortunately the IFR ceilings will hang around for
most of they with GBD, RSL likely to see improvements to VFR by
the early evening. SLN, HUT and ICT are not expected to see much
improvement in ceilings until the mid to late evening tonight.

Metzger

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    40  33  44  28 / 100  30  20  10
Hutchinson      41  31  43  25 / 100  20  20  10
Newton          38  32  41  26 / 100  30  30  10
ElDorado        38  32  41  27 / 100  40  40  10
Winfield-KWLD   39  33  45  28 / 100  40  20  10
Russell         46  30  43  22 /  80  10  20  10
Great Bend      47  30  44  22 /  80  10  10   0
Salina          42  32  41  25 / 100  20  40  20
McPherson       41  32  42  25 / 100  20  30  10
Coffeyville     38  34  43  30 / 100  70  40  20
Chanute         37  33  40  30 / 100  70  60  30
Iola            36  33  39  30 / 100  70  60  30
Parsons-KPPF    37  34  42  30 / 100  70  40  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ052-
053-069>072-093>096-098>100.

Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ032-033-
047>051-067-068-082-083-091-092.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...ELM


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