Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
061 FXUS65 KLKN 070802 AAA AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion...Updated National Weather Service Elko NV 1202 AM PST Sun Dec 7 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1202 AM PST Sun Dec 7 2025 * Quiet conditions with warming temperatures return Monday and Tuesday * Low chances for light showers across northern Elko county Wednesday into Thursday morning * Upper level ridging looks to be the dominant weather feature Friday into next weekend. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1202 AM PST Sun Dec 7 2025 Current forecast is on track. No changes have been made to the current seven day forecast. && .DISCUSSION... An upper trough will be well to the east today allowing the development of a ridge of high pressure that will build in across the Great Basin shoving the storm track that has been across the Pacific NW north into Canada. Models have recently hinted that this ridge may not be as strong as initially though as recently as yesterday. So While Monday and Tuesday look to be dry with quiet conditions, models hint that a upper trough moving through the Pacific northwest may be strong enough to clip northern Nevada Wednesday into Thursday morning. For now, precipitation with this trough looks to be limited to Northern Elko County, and with snow levels during passage forecast to be above 8500 feet, look for isolated rain showers, with snow limited to the highest peaks of the Independence and Jarbidge Ranges. As for amounts, isolated pockets of up to 0.25 of water, with up to 2 of snow. After Thursday, models again show ridging re-intensify across the SW US leading to another round of warming temperatures and quiet, dry weather conditions. Temperatures will be on a general warming trend this week, with highs starting in the mid 40s to mid 50s Sunday afternoon warming into the low 50s to low 60s by next weekend. Overnight lows will also warm from the upper teens to upper 20s Sunday morning, warming into the mid 20s to mid 30s for next weekend. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence in the development of a ridge of high pressure across the SW US and Great Basin Regions that will bring quiet weather and warming temperatures Monday and Tuesday. There is low to moderate confidence in the chances for isolated showers across northern Elko County Wednesday into Thursday morning associated with a upper trough clipping Nevada. There is high confidence in the re-intensification of upper level ridging across the SW US that will lead to quiet, dry weather with warming temperatures Friday into next weekend. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions are forecast through at least the next 24 hours. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...98 AVIATION...98