442
FXUS62 KMFL 290508
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1208 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

  - Hazardous marine conditions continue through late Saturday
    night in the Gulf and early Sunday morning in the Atlantic.

  - A high rip current risk continues this weekend for the
    Atlantic beaches, along with dangerous surf conditions.

  - Gradual warmup expected this weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

High pressure over the TN valley early this morning will shift east
towards the Mid Atlantic region today and eventually move off the
coast by this evening. This will result in our low level winds
becoming more ENE today and Sunday. With a tight pressure gradient
remaining in place, breezy conditions will continue today with
afternoon gusts of 25-30 mph expected. The gradient will relax for
Sunday with gusts of only 15-20 mph expected. 00Z MFL sounding
showed PWAT value of 0.90 inches and a lot of dry air above 800 mb.
PWAT values will start to increase today, with values of 1.2-1.4
inches over the far southern peninsula by late in the day, with 1.0-
1.2 inches closer to the lake region. With the increase in low level
moisture, some widely scattered showers are possible this afternoon
into early evening, mainly along and south of Alligator Alley.
Widely scattered showers possible again on Sunday, with chances
along the coast and over the far southern portion of the peninsula.

Temperatures will be on a moderating trend with highs today in the
upper 70s to lower 80s. Low temps tonight will be in the low to mid
60s around the lake and SW FL, to upper 60s and low 70s across the
east coast metro. Sundays high temps will be in the low to middle
80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

A frontal boundary across northern FL early in the work week will
keep much of the rainfall chances to our north, so it`ll be mainly
dry across South FL outside of some occasional coastal showers. The
next cold front will cross the area mid week and settle across the
FL Straits late in the week. Little to no moisture will be
associated with this frontal passage, however it will provide a bit
of relief with temps and humidity dropping back to seasonal norms.

Highs early in the week will be in the low to middle 80s, and low
temps will be in the 60s/70s. After the frontal passage, highs the
rest of the week will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and low
temps will be in the 50s/60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Mainly VFR through the 06Z TAF period. NNE winds becoming NE later
this morning with gusts to 25 kts from late morning through the
early evening. A few showers are possible later today at MIA and
TMB, with lower chances elsewhere.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Hazardous winds and seas continue today for both the Atlantic and
Gulf waters. NNE winds 20-25 kts expected through late tonight for
the Gulf waters and into early Sunday morning for the Atlantic
waters. Seas 3-6 ft in the Gulf and 6-10 ft in the Atlantic.
Conditions improve on Sunday, however cautionary easterly winds will
remain in the Atlantic into early this upcoming week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1203 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Strong easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents this
weekend for the Atlantic beaches. An elevated risk will remain into
early this upcoming week.

With the strong easterly flow this weekend, waves of 6-8 ft in the
surf zone are possible along portions of the Atlantic beaches this
morning through Sunday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            78  71  82  71 /  30  20  10  10
West Kendall     78  69  83  68 /  30  20  10  10
Opa-Locka        79  70  83  71 /  30  20  10  10
Homestead        78  71  82  71 /  40  30  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  77  70  81  71 /  30  20  10  10
N Ft Lauderdale  77  71  81  71 /  30  20  20  10
Pembroke Pines   79  70  83  71 /  30  20  10  10
West Palm Beach  77  69  81  70 /  20  20  20  10
Boca Raton       78  70  82  71 /  20  20  20  10
Naples           82  65  85  67 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Sunday for
     FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ630-650-651-
     670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for GMZ656-657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF