721
FXUS62 KMFL 090726
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
226 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

  - Hazardous boating conditions expected today as winds surge
    behind the frontal passages.

  - Drier, cooler weather starting Tuesday as high pressure builds
    over the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

A stalled cold front over the Florida Straits will continue to
influence conditions across the region over the next couple of days.
While northerly flow behind the boundary will usher in a noticeable
cooler and drier airmass aloft today, lingering low-level moisture
and modest instability over the local waters and southeast FL will
support periods of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms today
and tomorrow. Coverage should remain generally isolated to scattered
in nature, and focused over the local Atlantic waters and the East
Coast metro. Given the drier air aloft, any convection that develops
is expected to remain low-topped and weak.

Temperatures will remain comfortable through the period, with
afternoon highs in the low-mid 70s, and overnight lows dropping
to the upper 50s across the interior and down to the mid 60s along
the coasts. Comfortable temperatures will also be likely on
Tuesday, with highs topping off in the mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

A reinforcing dry cold front is forecast to sweep south across
the area on Thursday, finally pushing the stationary front over
the FL Straits south, and driving another surge of dry air across
the region. This dry front corresponds to a faster and weaker
solution that ensemble guidance has begun to lock onto for the
late-week upper trough moving across the Eastern US. This will
result in generally quiet and seasonable weather through the end
of the work week and into the first half of the weekend. Expect
highs each day in the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s
over the interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.

Confidence in the forecast begins to decrease late in the weekend
and into next week. Some ensemble members hint at a developing
upper- level disturbance over the Gulf that could slide eastward
over the peninsula, potentially increasing moisture along the
column and leading to a slight uptick in rain chances. While
uncertainty remains regarding timing and intensity, went with the
prevailing NBM guidance for the end of the period, with PoPs in
the 20-30% range.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with northerly
winds increasing to the 10-15 kt range later today, and gusts up
to 20 kts possible. A few isolated showers could move across the
East Coast, but confidence remains low regarding any potential
impacts to any terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

Northerly winds between 15-20 kts will prevail across all local
waters today, resulting in hazardous boating conditions. Seas will
also build today, reaching the 7-9 ft range across the Atlantic
waters, and 3-5 ft range across the Gulf waters. Small Craft
Advisories are in effect through this evening. Conditions will
gradually improve overnight into Wednesday as winds relax. A few
thunderstorms could be likely over the Atlantic waters today and on
Wednesday, with locally higher winds and seas possible.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 220 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

High risk of rip currents will be possible for all East Coast
beaches today as breezy winds and swell develop across the local
atlantic waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            76  68  80  59 /  50  30  10   0
West Kendall     77  64  82  55 /  50  30  10   0
Opa-Locka        77  66  82  58 /  50  30  10   0
Homestead        77  68  81  59 /  50  30  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  74  68  79  58 /  40  30  10  10
N Ft Lauderdale  74  68  79  58 /  40  30  10  10
Pembroke Pines   77  66  82  57 /  40  30  10   0
West Palm Beach  74  66  79  56 /  30  20  10   0
Boca Raton       76  67  81  57 /  40  30  10  10
Naples           75  61  77  59 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM EST this morning through
     Thursday evening for FLZ168.

     High Rip Current Risk from 7 AM EST this morning through
     Wednesday evening for FLZ172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ610.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for GMZ656-
     657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...ATV