Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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454
FXUS64 KMOB 251921
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
221 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...New MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 220 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

 - A cooler and drier air mass remains present through the weekend
   bringing below normal low temperatures and lower humidity.

 - A Moderate risk of rip currents continues at all area beaches
   through tonight.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Dry conditions are expected through early next week as a continental
air mass continues to funnel down from the north thanks to a storm
system over the Eastern Seaboard. Cloud cover kept temperatures
cooler this morning, but still expecting highs in the low to mid 80s
this afternoon due to ample sunshine. This is only slightly below
average, and unfortunately, today is the coolest day in the forecast
as highs are expected to climb back to above normal by Sunday (upper
80s to around 90), lasting through at least midweek. However, given
the dry air mass, overnight lows will remain quite comfortable with
low to mid 60s away from the coast through Monday night. Several
spots over the interior will likely even see some lows in the 50s.

A pattern change is expected by the middle to latter half of next
week as the east coast trough departs and a new trough swings into
the Southern Plains. At the same time, surface high pressure will
develop along the East Coast, helping to initiate a return flow from
the southeast by mid to late week. This will gradually increase
moisture and bring a return to at least scattered shower and storm
chances starting as early as Wednesday, though some isolated sea
breeze convection cannot be ruled out Monday and/or Tuesday
afternoons.

At the beaches, a Moderate risk of rip currents continues for
Alabama and Florida Panhandle beaches through tonight, becoming a
Low risk for Saturday through early next week. JGC/98

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

MVFR ceilings are quickly eroding across the area, with
VFR conditions expected to become prevalent within the next hour or
so. VFR conditions should remain in place through the remainder of
the period. A generally light northeasterly wind will continue
through the afternoon, becoming more variable this evening and into
tonight. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

Post frontal light to moderate northeasterly flow continues through
Saturday morning followed by light onshore flow in the afternoon. A
predominantly westerly to northwesterly flow then develops for
Sunday and Monday before transitioning to a more persistent moderate
southeasterly flow by midweek as high pressure builds to the east.
JGC/98

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      63  87  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   68  86  69  88 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      70  84  73  87 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   60  86  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  62  87  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      60  86  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   60  86  62  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$