888
FXUS64 KMOB 231641
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1141 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1129 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

- A Heat Advisory is in effect for southeast Mississippi today
  for heat indices to around 108 degrees.

- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected
  each afternoon, particularly across the southern half of the
  area. Storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, heavy
  rain, and frequent lightning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Hot and humid conditions continue the rest of this afternoon
across the area across southeast Mississippi as heat indices soar
into the 105 to 110 range. Elsewhere, afternoon mixing is helping
to limit higher dewpoints keeping it a bit more tolerable for heat
stress. The same can be expected on Monday, although there are
some uncertainties in regards to the overall evolution of showers
and storms that precludes confidence in issuing a heat advisory at
this time. With that said, scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will likely occur across the area both this
afternoon and Monday afternoon as several shortwaves track
southeast across the area. Strong, potentially damaging wind
gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning can be expected with
any storms.

As we head throughout the rest of the week, we remain in a
relatively similar pattern with upper troughing remaining in
control across the eastern half of the U.S. and upper ridging
located across the south-central into southwestern U.S. Tuesday
through Friday. This will continue to favor weak shortwaves
tracking across the area throughout the period, bringing scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms each afternoon to the
forecast area. Similar to prior days, strong, locally damaging
wind gusts are possible with any storms. The heat should relax
with the increased coverage of storms, with heat indices likely
remaining just below heat advisory criteria as we head through the
rest of the week. Afternoon temperatures also drop somewhat with
highs only in the lower to middle 90`s as opposed to the upper
90`s to near 100 we`ve been enduring. A Low risk of rip currents
will continue through the late week for our Alabama and Florida
Panhandle beaches. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period
outside of isolated showers and thunderstorms that will develop this
afternoon, mainly along the coast. Brief periods of IFR/MVFR
conditions and gusty winds will be possible in and around showers
and thunderstorms. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

A light to occasionally moderate westerly flow pattern continues
through this week. Winds are expected to shift from southwesterly
each afternoon to northwesterly late each night. Isolated to
potentially scattered showers and storms can be expected each
morning during next week with locally higher seas and winds near
storms. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  93  73  92 /  20  70  30  60
Pensacola   78  92  76  90 /  10  60  40  70
Destin      79  90  77  89 /  10  50  40  60
Evergreen   72  94  70  93 /  20  50  20  50
Waynesboro  73  94  70  95 /  20  50  20  40
Camden      73  91  69  92 /  20  40  20  30
Crestview   73  93  71  91 /  20  60  40  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

$$