822
FXUS64 KOHX 061627
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

- Low to medium chances for light rain by Sunday evening with a
  rain/snow mix possible late Sunday night into Monday morning.
  No accumulations expected.

- Continued below-normal temperatures through the next several
  days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Stratus will continue to keep us cooler than expected the next few
days. We could see some clearing into the early evening, but I`m a
bit uncertain on that right now and how much that would allow us to
warm with the sunset being so early nowadays. Lows tonight will be
in the upper 20s to low 30s.

Winds will shift bringing warmer air into the mid-state that will be
a bit more successful in warming us. Expect highs in the upper 40s
to low 50s for Sunday. Sunday will be another overcast day, with
some rain chances beginning in the evening hours. Overall, the PoPs
are low to medium (20 - 50%), but amounts will be very light. It`s
almost like this will be more drizzle than rain that`s how light the
QPF is. Overnight into Monday morning, this rain will changeover
into some snow showers thanks to a cold front. Sorry for all you
snow lovers though, as no accumulations are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

After our dreary weekend, high pressure will attempt to build in
into the beginning of the work week, driving temperatures into the
50s for highs. This story changes mid-week, as a trough is expected
to dig south and bring more rain chances to Middle Tennessee. There
remains some uncertainty with exact impacts of this system due to
discrepancies in the guidance, so stay tuned as we refine the
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

BNA and MQY are currently reporting VFR, but IFR cigs are knocking
on the door per satellite imagery. I`ve started the TAFs off with
this low stratus which will persist through the morning before a
transition to MVFR for the afternoon. Otherwise, it`s a mix of
cloud cover for Middle TN airports today, though SRB and CSV have
the best chance for afternoon clearing and VFR. Low confidence on
how cigs and sky cover play out tonight, but MVFR has been
advertised at BNA, MQY and CKV. Winds are light through the
period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      47  34  50  35 /   0   0  10  30
Clarksville    46  33  48  31 /   0   0  10  20
Crossville     43  29  48  33 /   0   0  10  40
Columbia       47  32  50  35 /   0   0  10  30
Cookeville     43  31  48  33 /   0   0  10  50
Jamestown      42  29  47  31 /   0   0  10  50
Lawrenceburg   46  32  50  36 /   0   0  10  30
Murfreesboro   45  31  49  35 /   0   0  10  30
Waverly        45  33  49  31 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Sizemore