537
FXUS64 KOHX 220504
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1204 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1201 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

- Low thunderstorm chances Saturday, primarily across the Plateau
  and southern Middle TN.

- Overall drier with slightly below-normal temperatures this
  weekend with patchy fog Saturday and Sunday mornings.

- Low to medium rain and storm chances next week with seasonal
  temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1020 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Quiet conditions are expected to prevail tonight with the only
concern being fog. Mostly clear skies and light winds will be
supportive for fog overnight. Highest confidence in fog is across
the Plateau, and short-term models support this as well with only
low probability of 10-20% for fog west of the Plateau. Upper-level
troughing remains in place over the eastern CONUS Saturday, and a
weak front will allow for isolated thunderstorms to develop during
the afternoon, mainly for areas near the TN/AL border and across
the Plateau. Otherwise, it`ll be a fairly nice Saturday with most
of the area staying dry and seasonable temperatures in the
upper-80s to low-90s. Upper-level troughing continues into Sunday
and behind the front, Sunday promises to be a very nice day with
dry conditions and slightly cooler temperatures in the mid to
upper-80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1020 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Slightly below normal temperatures continue into Monday, but the
aforementioned trough moves east by Tuesday. With ridging to the
west, northwest flow sets up over Middle TN through the end of the
week. Temperatures will warm a few degrees, but will still be
seasonably normal. Northwest flow also allows for daily low to
medium rain & thunderstorm chances to return Tuesday through the
end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Mainly VFR conditions, however fog will be an issue for CSV/SRB
for the next couple of nights. Look for VLIFR to LIFR conditions
starting around 07-08Z for each with improvement back to VFR by
13Z. Winds will be very light to calm overnight with occasional
northwest gusts of 15-18 kts on Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      92  63  88  61 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    91  63  87  61 /  10   0   0   0
Crossville     84  59  81  57 /  10  10   0   0
Columbia       93  65  90  62 /  10  10   0   0
Cookeville     86  61  83  59 /  10   0   0   0
Jamestown      85  61  81  58 /  10  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   91  64  88  61 /  10  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   93  65  89  61 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        92  65  88  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Unger