525
FXUS64 KSHV 010610
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1210 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1153 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

 - Freezing rainfall is likely with any precipitation near the
   Ouachita Mountains.

 - Temperatures will briefly return to near-normal by Wednesday,
   before remaining below-normal with precipitation through the
   rest of the week.

 - The next round of precipitation returns by the middle of this
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1153 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Isentropic upglide is and will be the main weather producer for
the Ark-La-Tex over the next 24 hours. In the process of this
activity, shallow cold air will boost the probability of freezing
rain near the Ouachita Mountains, prompting issuance of the Winter
Weather Advisory. There is some potential for a temporal extension
of this product Temperature maximums will not climb much into the
40s before falling back into minimums in the 20s-30s at the
coldest on Monday night before rebounding back to near- normal by
mid- week. Long- range guidance shows the wet pattern continuing
with yet another trough traversing the Intermountain West, exiting
to a confluence of Pacific moisture for precipitation returning
by late Wednesday through most of the rest of the week. Frontal
passage by Saturday will introduce the next reprieve from rainfall
through the next weekend. /16/


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the 01/06z TAF period...Expect reduced flight categories to
return during the period as low cigs and light rain move back into
the region. There is a chance for some light icing in the extreme
northern portions of the airspace, but that should remain just
north of KTXK and KELD. However, it will be close enough to
monitor for future TAFs. The precip will finally clear out by the
end of the period, but low cigs will remain, except at KTYR/KTXK.

/20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 828 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time but may be needed
on Monday morning with precipitation returning, possibly in the
form of a brief wintry mix over northern portions of the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  38  42  32 /   0  20  60  50
MLU  48  35  41  30 /  10  10  80  80
DEQ  46  29  37  23 /   0  10  50  20
TXK  47  33  37  28 /   0  10  50  30
ELD  44  30  36  25 /   0  10  70  60
TYR  47  37  42  30 /   0  20  40  30
GGG  48  35  41  29 /   0  20  50  40
LFK  52  38  45  31 /  10  30  70  50

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST Monday for ARZ050-051-060-
     061.

LA...None.
OK...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST Monday for OKZ077.

TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57