335
FXUS64 KSHV 091903
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
103 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Cold High pressure has finally moved eastward across the MS
   River with southerly winds lifting in warmer air off the Gulf.

 - A warming trend will continue into Wednesday with another
   shift to NW with a dry passage of a bubble high of 1022mb.

 - Seasonal temps for the short term and above average 70s back in
   for Friday and to kick off the weekend, followed by another big
   1040+ mb surface high gusting NE winds overnight into Sunday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

11 a.m. obs have all improved with visibility, but temps will take
another hour or two at least. A mix of chilly upper 30s and lower
40s are set to add another 10 to 15 degrees for highs this mid
afternoon. The cold air mass will scour slightly out our local
river vallies for a warmer day on Wednesday, which should
preclude much fog for low clouds instead, breaking late morning
again. A range of 40s to start for most with some above average
60s for highs. However, the winds will be shifting from SW to NW
again to round out the with slightly cooler readings briefly on
Thursday, before resuming a move toward "room temperatures" for
Friday and Saturday.

Moisture return on the back side of the weak bubble high should
translate into some light showers on Saturday and Saturday night
before the next big cold front for Sunday. Our winds will be
backing (back dooring) to NE overnight, setting us up for more
clouds and eventually some light rainfall, less than a tenth per
WPC days 4 & 5. Meanwhile, our high temps will tumble back to
below average for the end of our long term here with more ascent
over the shallow chill from a 1042mb sprawling air mass pouring
down the MS River Valley, This will likely be bringing soil
wetting showers back in earnest during early next week, especially
if you like the ECMWF. For now, our QPF is from the WPC with
expectations for around a half inch widespread in their days 6 & 7.
/24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1254 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Dense FG and low OVC is quickly burning off and scattering out
this afternoon, with SKC likely to return airspace wide as early
as 21z. VFR will hold across the airspace through much of the
evening and the early overnight period until low clouds look to
advance back north from the coast after midnight. For now,
advertising a mix of SCT/BKN below 2kft. Good chance that some of
the far southern terminals may see BKN/OVC around the same heights
or lower. As a result, MVFR is the max advertised, but potential
for instances of IFR can not be ruled out. Winds through the
period will start southerly, shifting to more of a SSW/W flow
through the late morning and early afternoon.

53

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  45  65  39  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  40  64  36  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  36  60  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  43  62  36  60 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  40  61  33  57 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  46  64  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  44  65  37  63 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  44  67  37  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...53