665
FXUS64 KSHV 111200
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
600 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

 - NW flow aloft will bring in less humid and slightly cooler
   conditions across the region tonight and tomorrow in wake of
   the recent cold front passage.

 - A gradual warming trend will return by Friday, as southerly
   winds return ahead of our next cold front. This cold front will
   arrive by Saturday afternoon/evening, bringing slight rain
   chances and widespread freezing temperatures by Monday morning.

 - Rain chances will return by the middle portion of next week, as
   an upper trough moves across the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Northwest flow aloft will continue to push in less humid and
slightly cooler conditions into the region overnight and through
tomorrow in wake of a recent cold front. With high pressure
expected to quickly settle across the region tonight, we should
see little cloud cover and light winds. This will allow
temperatures to fall into the 30s areawide, with near freezing
temperatures possible across portions of Southeast Oklahoma,
Southwest Arkansas, and extreme Northeast Texas. Highs for
tomorrow afternoon will generally range from the upper 50s to
lower 60s under sunny skies.

Southerly winds will return by tomorrow afternoon, as high
pressure slides east of the region. This will start a warming
trend, with highs on Friday returning into the upper 60s to lower
70s. Rain chances will return to portions of the region on
Saturday ahead of a strong cold front. At this time, models are
keeping these rain chances along and south of the I-30 corridor,
with the best chances across our East Texas and Louisiana zones
along and south of Interstate 20. Behind this front, the region
should see much cooler conditions, as many locations will
struggle to get out of the 40s for highs on Sunday afternoon under
sunny skies. However, Sunday night/Monday morning is where the
region will see the highly advertised Arctic temperatures, as
most of the region will fall well below freezing. Overnight lows
are forecast to range from the upper teens to lower 20s across
locations north of I-20, with mid to upper 20s expected over the
remaining portions of the region along and south of the
Interstate. Highs on Monday will also be on the cooler side, with
many locations struggling to reach 50 degrees.

This Arctic airmass will be short-lived, as southerly winds will
return late Monday. Near freezing temperatures will be possible
again Tuesday morning, but should be confined to our northern and
eastern forecast zones. For the remainder of Tuesday, an upper
trough will dive southeastward out of the Rockies into the
Southern Plains, eventually moving into Central Texas. Rain
chances will eventually return to a large portion of the area in
response to this system by Tuesday evening and remain through
Wednesday, as the trough slowly pushes east across the region.

/20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

For the 11/12Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the
period for most of the airspace. Exceptions are mainly across the
Deep East Texas airspace as low cloud decks are anticipated from
12/06Z through the end of the period. /16/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 545 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  63  47  69  46 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  59  42  69  43 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  59  37  65  37 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  61  43  66  41 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  58  40  65  38 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  63  46  68  46 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  63  44  69  45 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  65  46  73  51 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...16