913
FXUS64 KSJT 051843
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
143 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and dry conditions will continue today and Monday.

- Low chances (20%) for showers and a few thunderstorms Tuesday
  afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Weak southwest flow/upper ridging will remain over the region into
Monday. Temperatures will remain about the same, with highs in the
upper 80s to lower 90s (with the warmer temperatures in the Big
Country). Main change will be slightly lower wind speeds as the
surface pressure gradient relaxes between a lee trough to the
west and weak surface high pressure east. Southeast winds will
mainly prevail at 5 to 10 mph. Lows tonight will main be in the
lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Weak ridging aloft will move into West Central Texas Monday night
through early Wednesday, with a few weak embedded short-waves
aloft moving through the region. This, in combination with some
moisture advection (due to south to southeast flow in the low
levels), and potentially a weak cold front moving down from the
north, will bring low chances (20%) for showers and a few
thunderstorms (best chances across the I-10 corridor) Tuesday
afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. Slight weakening of the
850 mb thermal ridge will lead to a slight decrease in
temperatures, with forecast highs in the upper 80s Tuesday, and
mid 80s Wednesday. Meanwhile, overnight lows will continue around
the low to mid 60s.

Late Wednesday through Saturday, the upper level ridging and the
850 mb thermal ridge will strengthen over our area, resulting in
warmer and dry weather. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s
Thursday, and upper 80s to low 90s Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile,
a drier atmosphere will lead to slightly cooler early morning
lows in the low to mid 60s Thursday morning, and the upper 50s to
low 60s Friday and Saturday mornings.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

VFR next 24 hours. South wind gusts 17-20 KTS at KABI and KSJT
early this afternoon, but otherwise winds weaken mid/late
afternoon. There is a low potential for brief MVFR at KSOA and
KJCT, but left out mention at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  91  66  89 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  62  89  63  89 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    62  89  62  89 /   0   0   0  20
Brownwood   61  90  63  89 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  65  90  65  88 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       62  88  63  88 /   0   0   0  20
Brady       63  87  64  87 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....SJH
AVIATION...04