205
FXUS64 KSJT 191850
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
150 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and mainly dry conditions will continue again today.
  Isolated showers and storms possible over far western counties
  this afternoon and evening.

- Low to medium (20-50%) rain chances return late Sunday into mid
  next week, with daily highs less hot but more likely staying
  above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Another hot and breezy day across west central Texas. A few
isolated showers and storms are possible this afternoon and
evening across our far western counties, but most activity will
remain to our west across the higher terrain of west Texas. A
little better chance of isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the area on Sunday. The upper ridge will
weaken enough to allow a weak shortwave to move overhead. Have
kept PoPs mostly in the 20-50% range in the afternoon and evening.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing gusty downburst
winds along locally heavy rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 128 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

The ridge will weaken over our area for the beginning of next
week. This will allow a weak frontal boundary to drag into the
area on Monday and Tuesday. Some weak shortwaves aloft combined
with the surface boundary will allow isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms to develop. Have kept PoPs generally
below 50% given the uncertainty in overall coverage. But we could
some locally heavy rainfall with the stronger storms particularly
on Monday. The ridge looks to expand westward into our area for
the middle to later part of the week which would result in mainly
dry conditions with temperatures creeping back up into the mid
90s. Temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will be a little cooler
given more cloud cover and lower upper level heights.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

VFR conditions and light winds will continue through the next 24
hours. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible this
evening across the Trans-Pecos region and Permian Basin, but
should remain west of the TAF sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     77  98  72  95 /  10  40  40  30
San Angelo  74  98  70  96 /  10  40  20  20
Junction    71  96  69  96 /   0  20  20  20
Brownwood   73  98  69  96 /  10  20  40  40
Sweetwater  77  98  71  95 /  10  40  30  20
Ozona       72  95  69  95 /  10  20  30  10
Brady       72  95  70  94 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Daniels