215
FXUS64 KSJT 031754
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1154 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Another cold front will move through the area this afternoon
   and evening. This will lower highs down into the 40s for
   Thursday.

-  Low chance (15-20%) for scattered showers on Thursday, along
   with colder temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 100 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Skies are mostly clear this morning across west central Texas with
temperatures in the mid 40s.  Southerly winds were occurring as a
surface trough was developing over the Panhandle. The surface trough
was developing on the edge of a strong cold front, which will move
southward into west central Texas this afternoon and evening.  Ahead
of the front, the airmass should be warm enough to support high
temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.  For areas along and north
of Interstate 20, temperatures look to only reach the low 60s before
the front arrives.  The front will continue southward this evening
and reach the Concho Valley and I-10 corridor around 10pm.  Behind
the front, temperatures should fall into the 30s by late tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 100 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A strong cold front will move well south of the area by Thursday
morning resulting in much colder Thursday with highs only in the 40s
due to strong cold air advection and wind chills in the 30s.
However, a quick recovery in temperatures is in store for this
weekend with highs above seasonable values(in the 60s). The next
upper level disturbance is due in Thursday and Thursday night with
low chances(20-40%) of rain. A little light wintry mix is possible
across mainly the northern Big Country Thursday morning but no
significant impacts are expected at this time. Rainfall amounts look
light with this weak storm system. Going with a dry forecast this
weekend and early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A cold front will move south across the terminals late this
afternoon and evening. Frontal passage is expected at KABI around
20Z this afternoon, KSJT and KBBD between 04/01Z and 04/02Z and
KSOA and KJCT by 04/05Z. Gusty north winds Will develop behind the
front overnight into tomorrow morning, along with stratus
developing after midnight. MVFR ceilings are expected to develop
and persist across the terminals through morning hours. Could see
some very light showers or drizzle develop across the area
tomorrow morning, but confidence is too low to mention at this
time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     36  43  32  63 /  10  20   0   0
San Angelo  36  46  34  63 /   0  10  10   0
Junction    38  50  34  62 /  10  20  10  10
Brownwood   37  45  32  59 /  10  30   0   0
Sweetwater  35  42  33  63 /  10  10   0   0
Ozona       37  48  35  59 /   0   0  10  10
Brady       39  45  34  59 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...24