747
FXUS65 KLKN 112036
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
136 PM PDT Sat May 11 2024

.SYNOPSIS...A few showers may develop across western Humboldt
county Sunday with quiet weather conditions otherwise as high
pressure builds across the region. A weak upper-level disturbance
moving through the area Monday will bring a few showers and
afternoon thunderstorms to portions of central and northeastern
Nevada but significant precipitation is not anticipated. Lingering
showers will exit central Nevada Tuesday with highs in the 70s and
lows in the 40s for the rest of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday night

Mostly clear skies and diminishing north winds are expected
tonight as afternoon clouds dissipate this evening. A high
pressure ridge will bring quiet weather tot eh area Sunday
although a few late day showers may develop across western
Humboldt county. However, chances for any rain at all are less
than 10% western Humboldt county. Winds will be out of the
northwest as temperatures rise into the 70s, several degrees above
today, across valleys after Sunday morning lows in the 30s and
40s.

.LONG TERM...Monday through Saturday

Quick moving upper trough passing through the Pacific NW on
Monday will clip NV, resulting in a 10-30% chance of isolated
showers across the eastern half of Nevada for Monday afternoon.
Quiet conditions will return for the Silver state for the
remainder of the week, as most of NV will be between a slow moving
upper low near the four corners region and a upper level ridge
that will be well of shore of the Oregon coast. This will pace NE
Nevada under a dry NW flow aloft, which will allow for
temperatures to remain steady as the week progresses.Temperatures
begin the week above normal and look to remain above normal
through Saturday as highs range from the mid 70s to mid 80s, and
overnight lows range in the low 40s to low 50s. Winds for the work
week will be out of the W to NW direction generally during the
afternoons at speed of 5 to 15 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH
possible.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will be the primary flight conditions
through Sunday with light northerly winds of 5KT to 15KT.
Convective build-ups will develop during the afternoon but the
probability of showers remains below 10%.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Snowmelt is likely to accelerate through early next
week as temperatures continue to climb over the next couple of
days. This will keep streams, creeks, and rivers elevated.
Spring-time temperatures with daytime highs in the 70s and
possibly the low 80s for some locales. Overnight lows across the
high elevations are also likely to remain above freezing, further
aiding snow melt. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected SUnday
with a few showers across the area Monday. However, the
probability of wetting rains Monday is less than 10% even in
higher terrain so substantial hydrologic impact from falling
precipitation is not expected. Dry conditions are expected
statewide Tuesday through the latter part of the week.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain has fallen below action
state so the flood advisory has been cancelled. River levels are
expected to continue to decrease slowly through early next week.

The Humboldt River at Comus is in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next few days.

Wildhorse Dam Reservoir currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

93/98/98