Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FXUS63 KDLH 161219

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
719 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

Issued at 719 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

Updated for the new 12Z Aviation Discussion below.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 258 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

An area of high pressure will be over the Northland today into
Saturday keeping the region dry under mostly clear skies. There
could be a bit more clouds on Saturday as some cirrus moves in.

Today will be sunny as a ridge over the Northland keeps the affects
of a storm system well to the south/west over the Central/Northern
Plains. Highs today will be warmer than yesterday and range from the
mid thirties to lower forties. A light onshore flow will keep
lakeside areas a bit cooler. Tonight will be mostly clear and not
as cold with lows mostly in the teens.

Saturday still looks quite mild with mostly sunny skies. There is
some concern there could be more clouds than currently forecast but
confidence in that is low. We have increased highs Saturday and
expect most areas to be in the mid forties to around 50. We are
actually lower than a lot of the bias corrected guidance by a couple
degrees but didn`t want to increase that much yet.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 258 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

Mild weather will continue through the latter half of the weekend,
although our long stretch of time of clear skies will come to an end
Sunday. High pressure will be over the Upper Midwest, but low
pressure in the High Plains will begin spreading in cloud cover into
the Northland. Highs should be in the lower 40s.

The low pressure in the High Plains will shift east through the US
early next week. It continues to look like a Colorado Low will move
into the Central/Southern Plains Sunday night and Monday and head
towards the Mid-Atlantic states by Tuesday. The Northland will miss
out on this storm system, but its inverted trough will bring light
snow and rain well up into the Northern Plains, and possibly as far
east as central and north-central Minnesota, Monday night and
Tuesday. It will be colder Monday and Tuesday due to cloud cover and
colder flow from Canada. Highs will be in the 30s.

High pressure will likely return by the middle of the week and once
again promote clearer skies. Temperatures will moderate after
Tuesday, with highs in the middle and upper 30s Wednesday and lower
40s on Thursday.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 719 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

High pressure will be over the western Great Lakes today and
tonight. Expect clear skies and light winds, mostly from the east,
through tonight.


DLH  38  20  48  23 /   0   0   0   0
INL  40  13  49  18 /   0   0   0   0
BRD  41  16  47  20 /   0   0   0   0
HYR  41  12  50  20 /   0   0   0   0
ASX  38  17  48  23 /   0   0   0   0




LONG TERM...Grochocinski
AVIATION...Grochocinski is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.