Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 170541

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1241 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

VFR conditions are expected through the period. A rogue storm not
out of the question before sunrise, especially vicinity of KCDS,
but confidence is low. Will keep TS mention out at this time.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 320 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018/

Very little change in the forecast with an extended period of hot
and dry weather on our doorstep. A healthier than expected CU
field has spread across our CWA this afternoon and provided some
very brief showers but otherwise temps are on track from previous
forecast and a slight chance of showers will remain into the
evening hours in our northern zones as weak stationary front
remains stagnant along the southern Texas Panhandle.

The ridge of high pressure to our west continues to amplify and
migrate eastward bringing widespread above normal heat across the
region beginning in earnest on Wednesday, but highs will climb a
couple degrees or more in some locations tomorrow, especially to
the east off the Caprock into the Rolling Plains where triple
digit heat will persist daily through the next week at least. GFS
and ECMWF have been going back and forth on whether the dome of
high pressure will ultimately reach 600 decameters, which the
ECMWF now has even farther into the extended and in closer
proximity to our CWA by the beginning of next week. Either way,
its going to be hot and mostly dry through the next seven days,
and likely longer.




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