Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 242310 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
510 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020


Updated to include the 00Z aviation discussion below...



Some MVFR CIGs will continue across some terminals...especially
across the NRN sites. Precip chances will remain low through this
TAF period...along with VFR conditions becoming dominant for Sat
daylight hrs.


.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 250 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020)

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday...

The upper low has made its way into southern IL/IN and is moving
away from us. At the surface, high pressure is continuing to settle
into the area in the wake of the cold front that pushed thru the
state, and the cloud cover is finally starting to break across the
southwest portions of the forecast area.

As the low continues to retreat, clouds should clear across most of
the state by morning. Lows across the area tonight will be at or
below the freezing mark in most locations.

A bit of shortwave ridging will occur across the state tomorrow,
and a southerly flow will start to kick in in advance of the next
system, which should allow temperatures to return to near climo
normals tomorrow. Despite that, it will probably feel quite a bit
warmer after the cold weather of the past few days, especially
since a fair amount of sunshine and lighter winds are expected.

The fair weather isn`t going to last for long, as another shortwave
will be approaching the area tomorrow night and moving across the
area on Sunday. The shortwave should spin up a surface low on the
lee of the Rockies, and by Saturday night this low will be over the
southern Plains, and should pump enough moisture over the area to
make for periods of wet weather Saturday evening lasting thru
Sunday. Unlike the last system, however, temperatures will be
considerably warmer, with no risk of wintry weather.

LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Friday...

No major changes were made to the long term portion of the
forecast this afternoon. The period will be unsettled, with
periods of rain at times every couple of days but overall amounts
will be fairly light. No winter weather in included through the
period, which many in the higher elevations of western and
northern Arkansas will likely appreciate.

Temperatures through the period will be a bit warmer than what one
would expect for this time of year, but with a fair amount of cloud
cover and periodic rainfall expected it won`t feel balmy out there.
Daytime highs will largely remain in the 40s and 50s with overnight
lows in the 30s and 40s. Only portions of northern Arkansas are
expected to see overnight lows at or below freezing.


.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.


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