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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KALY 230532
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
132 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will shift eastward today bringing partly to
mostly sunny, breezy and milder weather. A low pressure system
will bring some rain and a localized high elevation rain snow
mix tonight through Wednesday. High pressure then returns with
dry weather to end the week.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
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High pressure will be positioned to our east today. Ideal
radiational cooling conditions will continue through the
overnight under a clear/mostly clear sky with lows mainly in the
20s and 30s. The approach of a positively tilted upper- level
trough and surface low pressure system from the west will result
in a gradual increase in high clouds through the day, but it
should still remain partly to mostly sunny through the
afternoon. The southerly return flow will aid in temperatures
rebounding into the 60s for most areas with some upper 50s
across the higher elevations. An increased pressure gradient
will result in breezy conditions developing this afternoon where
a few gusts could reach 25 mph. Any precipitation from our
approaching system will hold off until at least the evening
hours.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Upper energy approaches from the Great Lakes and OH Valley
Tuesday night and exits Wednesday into Wednesday night. The
associated cold front and low level forcing along the leading
edge of cold advection and wind shift will track through on
Wednesday. Showers move into the region Tuesday night, continue
through Wednesday and exit Wednesday evening. A rumble of
thunder cannot be ruled out, especially south of the Capital
Region but too small a chance to include at this time. Highs
Wednesday in the 50s, with around 60 mid Hudson Valley and some
40s southern Adirondacks. Temperatures expected to fall through
the afternoon in many areas with the colder air spreading into
the region. Rain showers end as a mix of rain and snow showers
in the southern Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains.

Clearing Wednesday night and sunshine Thursday. Highs Thursday
in the 50s with around 50 higher terrain.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Upper level ridging and low level warm advection builds into our
region Friday through the weekend. Upper energy in the central
U.S. will track around the northern periphery of the upper
ridging Saturday into the beginning of next week. So, while
there will be a warm up, chances for showers each day. Highs
Friday and Saturday in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs Sunday
and Monday in the 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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Through 06z Wednesday...VFR conditions will prevail through the
24 hour TAF period with high pressure over the region early this
morning, then shifting eastward off the New England coast
during the day. Just some high level cirrus clouds will be
around today. Mid level clouds will move in from the north/west
late this evening ahead of a low pressure system starting to
approach from the Great Lakes region.

Winds will initially be near calm through early this morning,
then becoming southerly and increasing to around 10-13 kt with
gusts of 20-25 kt developing by this afternoon.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHRA.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
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High pressure will shift eastward today bringing partly to
mostly sunny, breezy and milder weather with temperatures rising
into the 60s with some upper 50s across the higher elevations. RH
values will lower to 25 to 35 percent during the afternoon hours
with southerly winds gusting to around 25 mph.

A period of rainfall is expected tonight through Wednesday and
may mix with or end as a brief period of snow across portions of
the Adirondacks and southern Greens before ending. Dry weather
then returns for Thursday and Friday with winds generally 5 to
15 mph both days.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Rathbun
NEAR TERM...Rathbun
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...NAS
AVIATION...JPV
FIRE WEATHER...Rathbun