Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 030746

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
246 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2020

Large surface high pressure settled over the Rockies has sent a cold
front through the region. As a result colder air, breezy northerly
winds and lower clouds are expected today across the FA. High
temperatures will be nearly 25 degrees cooler today than yesterday.
This afternoon clouds will give way as breezy winds decrease and
shift to the east. Surface high pressure will remain steady over the
area allowing low temperatures to drop into the 30s area wide
tonight. Temperatures across the northwestern southern Texas
Panhandle will drop to near the freezing mark.

The pattern becomes a little more favorable for some modestly
active weather across the forecast area Saturday through Monday as
a series of low-amplitude upper level short wave troughs embedded
in southwesterly flow aloft move across the forecast, spaced
roughly 24 hours apart with each bringing the potential for some
shower, if not thunderstorm, potential, and each mainly focusing
on the southeastern third of the forecast area. Saturday`s wave
will have the added benefit of some mid level isentropic lift over
the remaining shallow cool air mass. Sunday`s looks the most
nebulous while Monday`s is looking to lean a bit more toward a
classic dryline convective day. Upper level ridging then takes
over with drier and warmer conditions midweek. Potentially
unsettled weather returns the latter part of the week, although
there remains a wide spread in the model progs regarding the
evolution of the next upper low to form over the desert southwest.




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