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000
FXUS64 KLZK 061745
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1245 PM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night )
Issued at 352 AM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023

Another few days of hot and summer-like condns are fcst around
the FA...surprise surprise... Great Lakes sfc high pressure and
Cntrl Canadian upper level ridging continues to drive the local wx
pattern. Through the short term PD, a persistence-type pattern is
expected. Daily highs wl top out in the low to mid 90s, and based
on the last few days, have upped fcst highs by a few degrees
given prominent afternoon mixing, relatively lower dewpoints, and
stagnant local sfc high pressure. Chcs for isolated to scattered
showers/storms wl peak during the afternoon and evening hours, w/
an occasional strong to potentially severe storm not off the
table. Any storms that do become strong wl have the potential to
produce strong wind gusts and possibly some small hail. Winds thru
the PD wl retain a Nrly component as we remain on the S/Wrn
periphery of Great Lakes sfc high pressure.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023

High pressure continues to extend from the Texas Gulf Coast to the
Dakotas with upper lows over the west coast and the northeast U.S.
This pattern will continue through the weekend. The upper ridge will
start to move east on Monday.

A cold front will be across the central part of the state Thursday,
moving through southwest sections Friday. Showers and thunderstorms
are expected along this front. This front is expected to go back to
the east as a warm front Saturday as another cold front approaches
from the north. This cold front will move through the state Monday
with another chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chances of
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the weekend. Drier air should move into the state for
Monday. Above normal temperatures are expected into early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023

High pressure and weak dry air advection aloft will keep VFR
conditions in place over Arkansas today, with little to no chance
of pop up thunderstorms this afternoon. Dry and VFR conditions are
expected over the next 24 hours.

Cavanaugh

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     61  94  65  87 /   0   0  10  30
Camden AR         64  89  67  91 /  20  20   0  30
Harrison AR       61  88  64  84 /   0  10  10  50
Hot Springs AR    64  94  68  93 /  10  10   0  40
Little Rock   AR  68  95  71  92 /  10  10  10  30
Monticello AR     67  92  69  92 /  30  10  10  30
Mount Ida AR      62  91  65  92 /  10  10   0  40
Mountain Home AR  60  91  64  85 /   0  10  20  40
Newport AR        64  94  68  88 /   0   0  10  20
Pine Bluff AR     67  93  69  92 /  20  10  10  30
Russellville AR   64  93  67  91 /  10  10  10  40
Searcy AR         64  94  67  89 /   0   0  10  30
Stuttgart AR      68  93  71  90 /  10  10  10  30

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...72
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...66