Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
000
FXUS64 KLZK 061745
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1245 PM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night )
Issued at 352 AM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023
Another few days of hot and summer-like condns are fcst around
the FA...surprise surprise... Great Lakes sfc high pressure and
Cntrl Canadian upper level ridging continues to drive the local wx
pattern. Through the short term PD, a persistence-type pattern is
expected. Daily highs wl top out in the low to mid 90s, and based
on the last few days, have upped fcst highs by a few degrees
given prominent afternoon mixing, relatively lower dewpoints, and
stagnant local sfc high pressure. Chcs for isolated to scattered
showers/storms wl peak during the afternoon and evening hours, w/
an occasional strong to potentially severe storm not off the
table. Any storms that do become strong wl have the potential to
produce strong wind gusts and possibly some small hail. Winds thru
the PD wl retain a Nrly component as we remain on the S/Wrn
periphery of Great Lakes sfc high pressure.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023
High pressure continues to extend from the Texas Gulf Coast to the
Dakotas with upper lows over the west coast and the northeast U.S.
This pattern will continue through the weekend. The upper ridge will
start to move east on Monday.
A cold front will be across the central part of the state Thursday,
moving through southwest sections Friday. Showers and thunderstorms
are expected along this front. This front is expected to go back to
the east as a warm front Saturday as another cold front approaches
from the north. This cold front will move through the state Monday
with another chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chances of
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the weekend. Drier air should move into the state for
Monday. Above normal temperatures are expected into early next
week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Jun 6 2023
High pressure and weak dry air advection aloft will keep VFR
conditions in place over Arkansas today, with little to no chance
of pop up thunderstorms this afternoon. Dry and VFR conditions are
expected over the next 24 hours.
Cavanaugh
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 61 94 65 87 / 0 0 10 30
Camden AR 64 89 67 91 / 20 20 0 30
Harrison AR 61 88 64 84 / 0 10 10 50
Hot Springs AR 64 94 68 93 / 10 10 0 40
Little Rock AR 68 95 71 92 / 10 10 10 30
Monticello AR 67 92 69 92 / 30 10 10 30
Mount Ida AR 62 91 65 92 / 10 10 0 40
Mountain Home AR 60 91 64 85 / 0 10 20 40
Newport AR 64 94 68 88 / 0 0 10 20
Pine Bluff AR 67 93 69 92 / 20 10 10 30
Russellville AR 64 93 67 91 / 10 10 10 40
Searcy AR 64 94 67 89 / 0 0 10 30
Stuttgart AR 68 93 71 90 / 10 10 10 30
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...72
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...66