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856
FXUS64 KLZK 130900
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
400 AM CDT Tue Apr 13 2021

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Wednesday Night
Early morning surface analysis shows a stalled frontal boundary
extending from near the Memphis area through north central
Arkansas into the Ouachitas. Showers and isolated storms have
continued through the night as a midlevel wave moves through and
interacts with the boundary. Front will be slow to move as the
longwave pattern remains fairly zonal. Precip should move east of
the area later this morning.

Additional showers/storms will occur tonight as another wave moves
through and interacts with the frontal boundary. The front should
shift southward a bit as the pattern amplifies by late Wednesday.

With the close proximity of the front in the short term,
temperatures will largely be below climatological averages, but
also dependent on the position of the boundary.
&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Through Monday
The FA wl be under the influence of sfc high pres, as well as an
upr ridge on Thu, resulting in a brief PD of dry conds. The
persistent zonal flow aloft wl bring another upr lvl trof out acrs
the Central Plains later this week. Combo of lift/moisture
advection wl result another round of rain overspreading the FA on
Fri and contg into early Sat.

The fcst for much of the upcoming weekend into early next week looks
benign attm. Another upr trof is fcst to swing thru the region Sun,
but moisture lvls appear limited at this point to include any
mention of PoPs. Temps wl rmn below seasonal norms, but a slow
moderating trend is expected toward the end of the fcst PD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     68  47  64  43 /  20  50  30  10
Camden AR         79  53  64  49 /  20  60  60  20
Harrison AR       61  45  62  39 /  20  50  20  10
Hot Springs AR    74  50  63  46 /  20  60  40  20
Little Rock   AR  72  49  63  46 /  20  50  40  10
Monticello AR     78  54  63  48 /  10  50  60  20
Mount Ida AR      74  49  64  46 /  20  70  40  20
Mountain Home AR  63  46  64  41 /  20  40  20  10
Newport AR        68  50  62  44 /  20  50  30  10
Pine Bluff AR     74  52  62  47 /  10  50  50  20
Russellville AR   71  49  65  45 /  20  60  30  10
Searcy AR         70  48  63  44 /  20  50  40  10
Stuttgart AR      73  52  62  47 /  20  50  50  10
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...57 / Long Term...44