Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 210733
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
233 AM CDT Wed Apr 21 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Light NE flow continues over much of the area in wake of our cold
front that cruised through this morning. Temps currently into the
U30s for many with some M30s spotted across our northern tier of Lea
and Gaines Co. Forecast lows are on track to touch the 32F threshold
for the Freeze Warning across our northern Basin and
Northern/Central Lea in NM, so maintained that portion of the
forecast. Borderline freezing criteria in the neighboring counties
to the south in TX, so perhaps they sneak in a freezing temp, but
the prospects are lower than further north, especially considering
high clouds peeking in from the west at this hour. High winds
continue in the Pass with KGDP sustained over 40 mph last 3 hrs.
Winds will slowly ramp up till sunrise as the local pressure
gradient tightens with winds through the Gap out of the NE.

After all this "fun" overnight, we`ll see winds settle and temps
warm up for the afternoon, but still remain on the chilly side for
one last day as 50s will be common across the Permian Basin. Quasi-
zonal flow will transpire tonight and tomorrow with temps really
warming up thanks to return flow and SW flow aloft ahead of our next
trough. We`ll see said trough sweep through Friday with a Pac front
blasting east, providing some downsloping component to the winds.
80s will be common for both Friday and Saturday, although a weak
cold front will "cool" off the NE portion of the forecast area a few
degrees on Saturday, comparatively. Return of ridging for Sun-Mon
with temps rocketing back up near 90 for the I-20 corridor and south
(80s elsewhere with triple-digits along the Rio Grande). Next trough
will sweep in sometime on Tue-Wed next week, but amplitude and
timing are currently off with main long range guidance, so can`t
dive into too many details, outside it`ll most likely be windier.
Still searching for rain chances as well with the best threat on
Friday steadily pushing further east with the dryline. We`re
trying y`all!

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     55  42  72  57 /   0   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       62  39  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         65  51  79  60 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  63  47  81  55 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 58  42  73  50 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          57  38  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          69  35  78  42 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           56  42  77  55 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         56  44  77  56 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           62  45  81  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Freeze Warning until 8 AM MDT this morning for Central Lea
     County-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea
     County.

TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ this morning for Borden-
     Dawson-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe
     and Delaware Mountains-Scurry.

     High Wind Warning until 10 AM MDT this morning for Guadalupe and
     Delaware Mountains.

&&

$$

72/87


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