Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 250841
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
341 AM CDT Mon Jun 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...

An upper trough is over the Central Plains with westerly flow over
the area. An outflow boundary is moving south towards the CWA with
rain and thunderstorms behind it moving eastward across the TX
Panhandle into Oklahoma. This boundary will aid in cooling off
temperatures today with highs mostly in the 90s expected.
Thunderstorms are mainly expected today across the Davis Mountains
southward toward the Big Bend and Rio Grande. There is a slight
chance of thunderstorms developing across portions of the Permian
Basin and Lea County due to the lingering outflow boundary.
Portions of the area are expected to have CAPE values of 3,000
J/kg to 4,000 J/kg and northern portions of the CWA may have bulk
shear values of 25 to 30 kts and mid-level lapse rates of near 8
degrees C/km. Due to these conditions, a strong to severe storm or
two cannot be ruled out this afternoon and evening.

An upper ridge begins to build over the region beginning on
Tuesday and continuing through the end of the week. This will
result in temperatures warming up a little from today with highs
mostly in the mid 90s to triple digits. Precipitation chances will
mostly be confined to the higher terrain across the western
portions of the area. An upper trough moves over the Northern and
Central Plains next weekend into early next week. This may result
in temperatures cooling off a couple of degrees and an eastward
expansion of precipitation chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     98  75  98  74 /  10  20   0   0
Carlsbad                       96  71 101  72 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                        100  77  99  76 /  10  20  10   0
Fort Stockton                  99  73  99  73 /  10  20   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 91  70  93  70 /  10  10  20  20
Hobbs                          94  68  97  69 /  20  20   0   0
Marfa                          94  62  93  62 /  30  20  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           96  75  98  74 /  20  20   0   0
Odessa                         96  75  98  74 /  20  20   0   0
Wink                           98  75 100  74 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

67/80


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