Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 060847
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
347 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Expect very warm conditions much of the week ahead before a cool
down and rain chances arrive late week into the weekend.

Morning fog and low clouds are prevalent once again across the area
this morning as Gulf moisture makes its way west. A few locations
are seeing lower visibilities, but this is not widespread. Clouds
and fog will clear late this morning making way for a warm
afternoon with most locations seeing highs near 80 degrees. An
upper low has cut off from the main jet stream and is slowly
moving southeast along the West Coast. This system will keep
southwesterly flow aloft across SE NM and W TX much of this week.
Within this flow we could see a storm or two almost any afternoon,
but with a strong cap and weak forcing storms will remain
isolated. The best chance for convection today will reside over
the Big Bend and Lower Trans Pecos where better moisture will be.

Tuesday and Wednesday look very warm, but mostly dry as we await the
arrival of the West Coast storm. Temperatures will be well above
with highs generally in the 80`s with 90`s along the Rio Grande.
While an isolated storm is possible, the chance looks too low to
include in the forecast at this time. Our attention then turns to
the north as a cold front moves into the region during the day
Thursday. This front along with the approaching upper trough could
lead to our next best shot at showers and storms. This chance of
storms could linger into the weekend depending on the timing of the
upper trough. It will be cooler behind the front with
temperatures falling closer to normal. A stronger cold front is
possible early next week and this one could bring some freezing
temperatures to parts of the area!

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     77  59  86  57 /  20  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       81  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         82  63  88  64 /  20  20   0  10
Fort Stockton                  82  60  84  59 /  10  10   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 71  51  72  53 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          79  53  81  54 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          76  49  77  51 /  20  20   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           80  59  85  58 /  20  10   0   0
Odessa                         80  59  84  58 /  20  10   0   0
Wink                           84  58  86  58 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/29



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