308
FXUS64 KMAF 262300
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
600 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday night)
Issued at 119 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

Mid level ridging will continue to expand across the region
leading to increasing temperatures each day. After a quiet night
with lows near 70 degrees, highs will climb back to near normal
Saturday. A few showers are possible across SE NM and the
Guadalupe Mountains tomorrow morning as a weak disturbances moves
out of the TX PH. Other than that, everyone looks to remain dry.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 119 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

Warmer and drier conditions are still forecast this week into
next week. NBM runs have been increasing highs and lows by a few
degrees from values in previous runs, so we are fairly confident
in this trend as of now. These warmer and drier conditions will
occur as an upper ridge strengthens over the Rockies, providing
large-scale subsidence keeping clouds and rain to a minimum and
allowing for more daytime heating. At the surface, light southeast
winds are also expected under the ridge. Triple digits along the
Pecos River into the upper Trans Pecos and over northeast Permian
Basin are likely Sunday into next Friday. These highs will be
above average for this time of year although not record breaking.
Lows fall into the 70s and above, 60s for most of Lea County and
SW TX Sunday night, and 70s and above aside from 60s northern Lea
County and Marfa Plateau into lower Trans Pecos Monday night
through Friday night, as the LLJ ramps up next week and keeps the
boundary layer well mixed, minimizing radiational cooling near the
surface. Large-scale subsidence from the upper ridge means rain
chances will be slim to none, other than diurnally driven storms
from heating of elevated terrain, mainly over the Davis Mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

VFR prevails through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               71  96  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 71  96  70 100 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                   70  94  70  96 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            69  96  69  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           68  88  67  92 /   0  10  10  20
Hobbs                    69  94  68  97 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                    61  91  62  92 /   0  10  10  20
Midland Intl Airport     71  94  70  97 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   71  94  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     73  98  73 100 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....94
AVIATION...29