Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 200816

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
316 AM CDT Tue Mar 20 2018




Skies remain cloudy across the forecast area early this morning
with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s. A weak
surface trough was currently located across far western Kentucky
across southern Missouri. This trough will drop south through the
forecast area today bringing rain showers ahead of it across the
region. Temperatures will be much cooler than Monday with highs in
the mid 40s to mid 50s.

High pressure will start to build into the region tonight bringing
dry weather and chilly temperatures. Some locations in west
Tennessee will see temperatures drop near or below freezing so a
Freeze Warning will be issued which will be in effect from 3 AM
through 9 AM Wednesday morning. High pressure will remain over the
region on Wednesday keeping dry and chilly conditions across the
forecast area. Temperatures will remain below normal with highs on
Wednesday in the low to mid 50s. Another chilly night is expected
for Wednesday night with lows again in the 30s. Another freeze
warning may be needed for early Thursday morning. Thursday will
see the start of a warming trend as winds become more southerly.
Temperatures will be closer to normal levels with highs in the low
to mid 60s.

By Thursday night, a warm front will develop across the southern
plains and begin to move east. Some rain showers may develop ahead
of the front across northern sections of the forecast area. As the
warm front moves into Arkansas on Friday, there will still be a
chance of showers across the region for both Friday and Friday
night. The warm front will lift north through the region on
Saturday but then stall out across the Ohio Valley Saturday night.
This will result in more showers on Saturday and perhaps some
thunderstorms for Saturday night. The front will then sink south
on Sunday and stall out across the forecast area into Monday. This
will mean more showers and thunderstorms will be possible both
days. Temperatures will be at or above normal for much of the
weekend and into Monday.



06Z TAF Set

VFR cigs to start...with MVFR deck expected to move into all of
the sites before sunrise. In addition scattered light rain showers
or sprinkles will develop through the midday hours before exiting
east by sunset. By this time cigs should improve to VFR. West to
northwest winds of 7-11kts will increase slightly and start
gusting by mid morning. Winds will diminish to 5-6 kts by 21/00z.



TN...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Wednesday for Benton TN-


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