Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 171857
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
157 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...

A nice fall afternoon is ongoing across the area today with only
some passing high clouds noted on satellite today. After morning
lows in the 40s for much of the area, temperatures have warmed into
the lower 70s. Winds remain light and with dewpoints remaining in
the 30s and 40s we should see another cool night tonight. Lows will
range from the middle 40s to lower 50s for most locations or about 3
to 5 degrees warmer than last night. For tomorrow, not many changes
are expected. Should see continued dry weather with the return of
southerly flow as the surface high shifts east. Highs will be in the
middle 70s to near 80. With the return of southerly flow, lows
tomorrow night will be warmer, in the middle 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...

Low-level moisture return will be well under way by Tuesday as the
sfc high responsible for our cool and dry weekend will slide eastward
into the Southeastern States. Despite the return of elevated
humidity, temperatures should remain tolerable, with afternoon highs
in the 80s and mornings in the 60s.

The upper level pattern will be mostly zonal as a series of upper
level lows slide eastward over the northern Plains. A cold front will
attempt to push through the CWA on Thursday, but specifics on timing
and whether any precipitation will accompany the front are iffy at
best. Model agreement isn`t particularly impressive, so will keep
PoPs out of the forecast at this time in going with the previous
forecast package. Beyond this first front, we may see yet another
shortwave trough work through South-Central Texas on Sunday, bringing
another chance for rain, but chances look fairly slim at this
distance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              49  75  57  80  62 /   0   0   0  -    0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  46  76  56  81  61 /   0   0   0  -    0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     48  77  57  82  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            48  75  57  79  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           54  81  64  85  66 /   0  -    0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        47  75  55  80  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             48  78  59  83  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        47  77  56  81  61 /   0   0   0  -    0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   49  78  57  83  63 /   0   0   0  -    0
San Antonio Intl Airport       51  76  59  81  63 /   0   0   0  -    0
Stinson Muni Airport           52  79  61  84  65 /   0   0   0  -    0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term/Aviation...Hampshire
Long-Term...Morris


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