342
FXUS63 KICT 102318
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
618 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A dry and quiet weather pattern will continue over the region
  for several days with daytime highs slightly above normal

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

The weather pattern for Kansas will not change much for the rest of
the work week, as tropical remnants from Francine move slowly
northward from the Gulf of Mexico and reach northeast Arkansas by
Friday. This area of precipitation will remain east of Kansas.
Daytime highs will be slightly above normal with dry weather
expected.

Models continue to show a weak signal for possible elevated
showers/storms trying to develop late Friday night into Saturday
morning along a 700mb baroclinic zone, mainly affecting north
central/northeast Kansas. Will continue to watch model trends to see
if this signal could bring chances of rain to our northeast county
areas this period. Meanwhile heading into next week long range
models are advertising a pattern change with deepening upper
trough over southwestern states pivoting towards the central
plains for Monday into Tuesday. This will put Kansas in a
southwest flow regime aloft which could bring a decent chance of
precipitation to the region, as deeper Gulf of Mexico moisture
will advect northward into Kansas from this kind of setup.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 617 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period at all
sites. Southerly winds will pick back up again Wednesday afternoon
at central KS sites with gusts up to 20 kts possible.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...JWK