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000
FXUS64 KJAN 160923
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
423 AM CDT Sun May 16 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Today and tonight...

Another quiet weather day is in store for the region. We remain on
the western side of the surface high and under upper ridging aloft.
Moisture will continue to feed back into the region thanks to
southerly flow. This will result in an increase in clouds later
today into tonight ahead of our next weather system. Temperatures
will be on the warm side with highs in the 80s. Thanks to the
increased moisture, cloud cover and southerly flow, overnight lows
will be rather muggy with readings ranging from the mid 60s in the
west to the lower 60s/some upper 50s remaining in the east. By
daybreak on Monday, some light rain may be impacting parts of the
western sections of the forecast area, mainly west of the MS River.
However, the bulk of any precip will hold off until later Monday.
/28/

.Monday through Saturday night...Moisture will continue to
increase through the day on Monday and this combined with a short
wave, will kick off showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
The best chance for storms will be west of the I-55 corridor with
the higher PWATS. A few showers may persist into the overnight
hours Monday night, mainly in the west.

A closed low will move into the Texas Panhandle on Tuesday and will
be centered over north texas through Wednesday. With PWATS around
1.6-1.7 inches on Tuesday, expect another round of diurnal
thunderstorms. Once again it looks like the best chance for storms
will be west of the I-55 corridor, with isolated activity further
east. Expect very similar conditions on Wednesday with diurnal
thunderstorm activity in the west once again. Upper ridging will
begin to strengthen on Thursday with isolated to scattered
thunderstorms once again mainly in the west. The upper ridge will
continue to strengthen and shift west over the area on Friday
into Saturday, with diurnal storms possible once again on Friday.
With a H594 high over the ArkLaMiss on Saturday, expect
mainly isolated thunderstorm activity, along with temperatures
climbing into the upper 80s and possibly the low 90s Saturday
afternoon. /15/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Some patchy fog
may occur at KPIB/KHBG prior to daybreak which could briefly
reduce flight categories. This will be short lived and VFR
conditions will prevail today. Winds will be out of the south
around 5-12kts, with some gusts in the Delta possible. Clouds will
begin to increase tonight over the area, but ceilings should
remain VFR. /28/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  63  82  65 /   2   6  30  19
Meridian      83  58  83  62 /   2   3  14   9
Vicksburg     84  65  82  67 /   4  13  47  25
Hattiesburg   83  60  82  64 /   3   4  21  12
Natchez       82  65  81  67 /   7  14  49  22
Greenville    83  65  80  67 /   2  15  47  34
Greenwood     84  65  81  67 /   2   8  33  28

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&


$$

15/28