Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 060906

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
206 AM PDT Thu May 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS...A trough will bring unsettled weather to the silver
state for the next couple of days. Windy conditions will occur today
and Friday which can lead to some blowing dust. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible today and friday but these
shouldn`t lead to much if any precipitation. Today will be warm
but cooler conditions will start on Friday.


.SHORT TERM...Today and Friday.

A trough is moving onshore today and will then slowly drift
eastward across NV over the next few days. This will bring a
period of unsettled weather to the silver state starting today.
This will be mainly in the form of gusty winds across the region
today with gusts reaching into the mid 30s mph. These winds are
looking favorable to pick up dust from the salt flats this
afternoon, mainly across northern to central NV. The winds will
also make travel difficult for high profile vehicles. There is
some moisture that will move across NV today that could spark off
a few showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon to evening.
The convection looks to occur mainly in a line from north central
to south central NV. This convection however will be mainly dry
and wont lead to much if any precipitation. Today will be warm
with the highs in the 80s across NV, with a few spots approaching
near record territory.

Friday will see further windy conditions but not as strong as
todays. More showers and thunderstorms look to form during the
afternoon and evening but like today these should not lead to much
if any precipitation. This convection will also form in a
north/south line in eastern NV. Temperatures are looking to be a
bit cooler with highs in the 60s to 70s.

.LONG TERM...Friday night through next Wednesday

Weather becomes quiet for the end of the week, but significant
model disagreement lowers confidence related to potential showers
at the beginning of next week.

The frontal system pushes off to the east and exits our area
Friday night, but winds may remain a little breezy with a leftover
shower or two possible in eastern Nevada. Any lingering showers
are expected to be light and are unlikely to produce measurable
precip. Temperatures cool off compared to recent after the cold
front passes, and afternoon highs through Monday are only expected
to reach the 50s and 60s. Overnight lows also drop into the 20s
and 30s, feeling colder than what we would expect for this time of

The low pressure system that brought the frontal boundary through
our region gets stuck over MT/ID/WY, but the weekend should
be quiet until Sunday afternoon when enough moisture wraps around
the low to support light showers in eastern Nevada. Once again,
there isnt much indication that any of these showers could
produce anything more than one or two hundredths of an inch of
rainfall. Mountaintops may see a light dusting of snow, but
nothing is expected in terms of accumulation.

Any unsettled weather should clear up Monday night, giving way to
a quiet Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures warm up with highs
mostly in the 70s on Tuesday and 80s on Wednesday.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected through Thursday evening.
Expect breezy to windy conditions on Thursday afternoon, generally
15 to 25 kts, with some gusts to around 30 kts at KWMC and KTPH.
There may be some isolated dry thunderstorms in western Nevada
during the afternoon, though coverage would be too low to add


.FIRE WEATHER...Primary concern will be elevated fire weather
conditions this afternoon ahead of a cold front that will move
through the state on Friday. Southwest winds will increase to
15-25 mph with gusts around 35 mph this afternoon across parts of
central, northern and northwestern Nevada. The winds combined
with the low RH during the day will promote elevated fire weather
conditions, although, fuel condtions are not yet critical. In
addition isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop Thursday
afternoon lasting into the early evening primarily in fire
weather zones 427, 424, 437 and 438. Precipitation will be limited
with gusty outflow winds from virga showers being the main impact.
The cold front slides southeast Friday bringing cooler
temperatures and higher humidity to much of northern Nevada along
with continuing chances for isolated shower and even a few
thunderstorms. Wetting rains are not expected with any of the
convection on either Thursday or Friday.




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