494
FXUS65 KLKN 132158
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
158 PM PST Mon Jan 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A ridge of high pressure will bring light winds, dry
conditions, partly cloudy skies but only marginally warmer
temperatures to northern and central Nevada through Thursday. An
upper-level disturbance is expected to usher in more cloud cover
but precipitation chances remain low in the 20-25% range late
Friday into Saturday with minimal snow impacts expected. Cold
temperatures behind the cold front are expected beginning Saturday
with sub freezing high temperatures and widespread single digits
for lows early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday night

A elongated positively tilted trough continues to propagate
southward allowing a ridging pattern to take hold for the next
several days. Low to mid-level cloud cover continues to diminish
across the area with additional clearing tonight. This combined
with light winds will promote cold overnight lows in the lower
teens with some single digits expected. Probabilities of
temperatures dropping below 10F are highest at Ely at 50% followed
by Pequop Summit at 20%. Spring Creek has a 10% chance of 10F or
below with less than 10% in neighboring valleys.

Winds will be light through Tuesday with a primary north
component showing up particularly across central Nevada Tuesday
afternoon. High temperatures on Tuesday will only be 30s across
northeastern and eastern Nevada with low 40s in western Humboldt
and northern Nye counties. Lows Tuesday night will not be quite as
cold, falling into the teens under light winds.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Tuesday

Blocking pattern remains in place until Friday morning. Increasing
cloud cover on Friday afternoon will precede a shortwave trough,
which will brush past the eastern part of Nevada late Friday night
through Saturday morning. Morning lows in the lower teens and
afternoon highs in the lower 40s are forecast for Wednesday.
Temperatures will warm on Thursday as the ridge strengthens, then
gradually cool throughout the end of the week as the shortwave
approaches. Temperatures will drop over the weekend and early next
week. Highs on Thursday will be in the low to mid 40s, decreasing
to the upper 30s to lower 40s on Friday. Lows will be in the
teens and lower 20s both mornings. The shortwave will be embedded
in a longwave trough stretching from the Hudson Bay in Canada,
which will bring northerly to northwesterly flow to Nevada from
the time the shortwave passes to early Tuesday morning. Lows in
the teens to single digits are forecast on Saturday morning due to
the cold, dry northerly flow, and widespread single digit temps
are expected on Sunday and Monday morning. Highs in the upper 20s
to lower 30s for the weekend and Monday are expected. High
pressure will return on Tuesday, but temperatures will remain cold
until the high strengthens later in the week. Little to no
precipitation expected for Nevada throughout the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through
Tuesday evening as skies clear behind the recent weather system.
Winds will be light and variable for most terminals, with 12 KT
northerly winds at KTPH and light northeasterly winds at KWMC.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

93/89/89