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000
FXUS64 KMEG 022032
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
232 PM CST Sat Dec 2 2023

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 121 PM CST Sat Dec 2 2023

A few additional rain showers are expected this evening in
northeast Mississippi into west Tennessee near the Tennessee
River. Otherwise, the forecast looks dry Sunday through the
upcoming work week. Temperatures look near normal through the
period.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Friday)
Issued at 121 PM CST Sat Dec 2 2023

A cold front appears to have stalled, or slowed to a crawl from
near Parsons, Tennessee, to near Oxford, MS. Showers continue
along and ahead of this boundary across northeast Mississippi and
near the Tennessee River in west Tennessee. It may move a bit
farther east this afternoon, but it will not get a real push out
of the Midsouth until later tonight as next shortwave currently on
the lee side of the Rockies approaches the Mississippi River.
Will maintain low chance PoPs this afternoon and overnight.
Showers may even increase in coverage again this evening or
overnight as the next shortwave approaches.

A series of transient surface highs will move across the eastern
CONUS tomorrow and during the upcoming work week. As a result,
dry conditions return to the Midsouth Sunday and should continue
through at least Friday. Two weak troughs and associated cold
fronts are expected to move across this week. One on Tuesday and
again on Thursday. Moisture along or ahead of these systems will
be very limited, so rainfall is not expected. Temperatures may
cool slightly, but no extreme changes in airmass are expected. Any
freezing temperatures will be most likely Wednesday and Thursday
mornings. High temperatures through midweek will be mostly in the
50s, with some 60s returning Thursday into the weekend.

Guidance is in poor agreement, but we may see a chance or rain
return to the Midsouth next weekend.

30/Sirmon

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM CST Sat Dec 2 2023

Scattered showers will continue across north Mississippi and into
portions of west Tennessee near the Tennessee River through the
afternoon hours before diminishing in coverage tonight. Low clouds
will remain over north Mississippi this afternoon before expanding
northward into portions of west Tennessee this evening. All areas
should see VFR conditions by Sunday morning. Winds will be mainly
from the northeast at 5 to 10 knots this afternoon before
gradually backing to the west at 5 to 10 knots overnight. Some
patchy areas of fog may develop overnight but unless winds are
lighter than expected, fog is not expected to develop at TAF
sites.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...ARS