Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS63 KSGF 300829

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
329 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

Surface high pressure is currently located across the region early
this morning. An upper level trough will move into the central
Plains today and into and across the area tonight into Tuesday.
Highs will warm into the upper 60s to around the 70 degree mark
this afternoon ahead of the approaching trough.

A drier air mass remains in place across the area early this
morning. Southerly flow aloft will develop ahead of the trough
which will help to pull moisture north into the region. The drier
air should keep much of the area dry through the afternoon hours.
This evening as lift increases with the approaching trough and
moisture increases some, showers will start to develop and spread
across the area from the southwest to northeast. The rain will
continue into the overnight hours ending from northwest to
southeast Tuesday morning. Instability will overall remain
limited, but there could be just enough for an isolated rumble of
thunder or two embedded within the showers. Rainfall amounts will
range from around an inch across far southern Missouri to less
than a quarter of an inch across central Missouri. Given the
widespread nature of the rainfall and still fairly saturated
grounds, its possible some localized minor flood of very flood
prone areas could occur this evening and tonight. Lows in the
middle to upper 40s will occur tonight.

A slightly cooler air mass will move into the region behind the
system as highs on Tuesday warm into the upper 50s to the lower
60s. Lows Tuesday night will range from the middle 30s across
central Missouri to the lower 40s across southeastern Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

An upper level ridge will build over the area Wednesday.
Temperatures in the middle 60s to near 70 will occur Wednesday
afternoon. Gusty southerly winds will occur on Wednesday helping
to usher the slightly warmer air mass into the area.

An upper level disturbance will track across the region on
Thursday. Moisture return will be limited but a few showers will
be possible across the area. A shortwave trough will then approach
the area on Friday and move through the area Friday night into
Saturday. Better moisture return along with better lift will occur
with this trough. Shower and a few thunderstorms will be possible
Friday into Saturday. Highs in the upper 50s to the lower 60s and
lows in the upper 30s to the middle 40s are expected Friday
through Saturday night.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are in place to start with
sfc high pressure over the area. Lowering vfr ceilings are
expected as low pressure moves through the southern Plains to the
ARKLATEX region. Light rain will spread in from the west late in
the period.




AVIATION...DSA is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.