Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 311125
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
625 AM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions to prevail through the terminal forecast period
ending 01/12Z. Surface high pressure centered over the region to
maintain light winds under 6 knots areawide today into this
evening. A cold front will move across the region overnight
bringing light northwest winds under 5 knots after 01/07Z.
/05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 425 AM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020/

SHORT TERM.../Today through Sunday/

Dry conditions to prevail across the region through the short
term period as upper-level ridging across the Gulf of Mexico
maintains zonal to weak northwest flow aloft. At the surface,
high pressure will maintain light winds this morning, becoming
southeast at 5 to 10 mph this afternoon. A weak frontal boundary
will slip through the region tonight allowing for a reinforcement
of cool and dry high pressure to become re-established across the
region on Sunday. Temperatures to range from highs in the 60s
today to lows in the 40s tonight. High temperatures on Sunday to
range from the lower 60s across southeast Oklahoma to the upper
60s across deep east Texas and north Louisiana. with northeast
winds around 5 to 10 mph. /05/

LONG TERM.../Sunday night through Friday Night/

The long term looks chilly to start with a reinforcing air mass
arriving with a 1032mb core over OK/MO at 00Z Monday, will settle
into NE TX at 1034mb by daybreak. We will be below average with some
wind chill for good measure to start the week.  It will be mid to
upper 30s for both Monday and Tuesday mornings with patchy frost
possible especially Tuesday with a light south wind by daybreak.

As far as high temps go, we will see low 60s Monday become upper 60s
and even some lower 70s with a return flow on Tuesday. This will be
the beginning of a nice warming trend with lows climbing from 40s to
50s by the weekend. High temps will see at least low to mid 70s mid
to late week. It looks to remain dry with no chance for rain to
contend with at least through the first week of November. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  68  47  67  39 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  68  47  68  38 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  64  44  64  35 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  64  45  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  66  44  65  35 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  67  47  67  39 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  68  45  68  38 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  69  47  69  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05/24


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