Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 160532

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1032 PM MST Sat Dec 15 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 315 PM MST Sat Dec 15 2018

Mid/high clouds were fairly extensive today, forming along the
Front Range on the southern fringe of shortwave trough traversing
the northern plains. Those clouds should move out early leaving
mostly clear skies by Sunday morning. Temperatures had no problems
warming into the middle 50s today despite the clouds, outside of
some persistent snow cover around McCook, Oberlin and Atwood.
Expecting more sun on Sunday and light southerly winds, which
should add a few more degrees to the high temperatures, ranging
from the middle to upper 50s outside of the snow areas, which will
be in the upper 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 315 PM MST Sat Dec 15 2018

Shortwave ridging persists into Monday with another warm and dry
day. A broad, weak upper trough will move through Monday night and
Tuesday which will bring an increase in clouds but no
precipitation. Temperatures will dip slightly compared to previous
day but still above normal. Fairly strong northwest flow aloft
will develop on the backside of the trough for Wednesday, which
will be a windy day. Expectation at this time is that wind speeds
will stay slightly below warning criteria with gusts in the 40 to
50 mph range, but something to watch the next couple of days.
Relative humidity stays well above criteria for fire weather, so
no problems there either. Upper ridge will rebuild for Thursday
and Friday with a return of warmer temperatures. Next front looks
to come through late Friday or Saturday with some wind and cooler
temperatures, at least back to normal. Frontal passage looks dry
at this time with upper support well to the north.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1028 PM MST Sat Dec 15 2018

Vfr conditions are expected through the period. The winds at both
sites will be west around 6 knots until 18z when they will become
light and variable. For Kgld at 21z the winds will become south at
7 knots and then shift to the southwest around 04z. For Kmck, the
winds will remain light and variable until 01z when they will
shift to the southwest at 6 knots.




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