Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 191929
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
229 PM EST Mon Nov 19 2018


.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Tuesday...Low clouds have been slow to
burn off over parts of ne Fl and se Ga this afternoon. Weak high
pressure over the area with light winds may result in fog again
late tonight. An increase in high clouds overnight will likely
keep fog from becoming widespread so have patchy fog in forecast.
A dry cold front will move across the area on Tuesday bringing
slightly drier air to the area. Seasonal temperatures will
continue.

Tuesday night through Thursday night...Surface high pressure will
build to the north through the period. An inverted trough will
form off the east coast which will increase the pressure gradient
and winds on Thursday especially near the coast. A weak trough in
the zonal flow aloft will help produce scattered showers late
Thurday and Thursday night mainly near the east coast with
isolated thunder possible over the coastal waters.

.LONG TERM...Friday through Monday...A short wave and associated
surface low will move across the se Friday night into early
Saturday. Scattered to numerous showers expected with a few
thunderstorms possible. Drier air will spread into the area by
Saturday afternoon as ridging moves into the area. Another fast
moving system will bring a chance of rain Sunday into early
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...The stratus deck will continue to erode with all
terminals becoming VFR this afternoon. Potential for low
clouds and fog again tonight...however there will also
be an increase in high clouds which will tend to mitigate
the potential. For now...have prevailing MVFR vsby at most
terminals (except IFR vsby at VQQ) with scattered low decks
beginning after 05Z-06Z.

&&

.MARINE...A weak cold front will push across the waters on Tuesday
as high pressure builds northwest of the region through Wednesday.
Strengthening onshore winds will develop Thursday as high
pressure builds to the north. A surface low and cold front will
move across the southeast on Saturday. Advisory conditions
expected Thursday through Saturday.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk for northeast Florida beaches due to
swells.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  51  71  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  55  71  48  65 /   0  10   0   0
JAX  55  73  47  68 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  58  73  53  70 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  56  74  47  70 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  58  76  49  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Zibura/Peterson/Bricker


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