Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 311740
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1240 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 18Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions with increasing high clouds will continue the next
24 hours. Winds will gradually shift to the southeast, and could
become elevated at MAF/FST by Wednesday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 257 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Dry and quiet weather with near normal temperatures is expected
through Wednesday as a surface lee trough remains anchored along
the west Texas/eastern New Mexico border while surface high
pressure moves east from the southern Plains into the Mississippi
Valley. This surface trough will deepen and move east toward
central Texas Thursday in response to an upper level trough moving
east through the Rocky Mountains. Low level thermal ridging and
dry downslope westerly flow will boost temperatures well above
normal by Thursday. It will become windy in the mountains and
breezy in many areas of the plains as the surface pressure
gradient increases. Later shifts will need to monitor for the
potential for high winds in Guadalupe Mountains Thursday.

By late Friday and Saturday the cold front associated with the
upper level trough will move southwest through west Texas and
southeast New Mexico. Temperatures will cool to near or slightly
below normal values Saturday and Sunday. At the same time the
chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase across mainly
west Texas, beginning late Friday across the eastern Permian
Basin and expanding westward across west Texas Saturday and
Sunday with the front pushed up against the mountains with
disturbances riding up and over the front.

By next Monday look for above normal temperatures with the better
chance for precipitation shifting out of the forecast area and
into central and eastern Texas as a dryline surges east in
southwest flow aloft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     53  75  58  85 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       51  80  55  84 /   0  10   0   0
Dryden                         55  82  58  90 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  57  81  57  86 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 52  73  51  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          50  76  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          45  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           54  75  57  85 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                         55  76  56  85 /   0  10   0   0
Wink                           52  80  55  87 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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