Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 210248
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
948 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.AVIATION...

All is quiet on the aviation front for the 06z TAF package. Very
little difference in thinking comparing this package to the 00z
package. Did add an AC deck in the last 6 hours of this package
for all terminals except for the ELD/MLU terminals. Otherwise VFR
conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with increasing
southerly winds expected on Sunday beyond 15z with sustained winds
near 8-15kts with higher gusts, mainly across our NE TX terminal
locations.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 921 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019/

UPDATE...

Another beautiful evening across the Four State Region with clear
skies and light winds currently. Ridge axis has moved east of our
region this evening and as a result, expect near calm winds to
dominate across our eastern half with light southerly winds across
our western half overnight. This will effect temperatures with 02z
temps running some 2-4 degrees below those forecast for this hour.
As a result, have lowered temperatures a few degrees, especially
across SW AR into NE LA where ambient temps should fall thru
dewpoints closer to sunrise. The mixing component to the light
southerly flow across our western zones will help to hold
temperatures up slightly.

Did adjust hourly dewpoint and RH grids to mimic current and
forecast conditions through the remainder of the night, otherwise
the forecast is on track.

Updated package due out shortly...13.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  82  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  47  80  54  80 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  45  81  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  51  81  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  44  81  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  54  82  59  80 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  52  83  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  52  83  59  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

13/13


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