National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS62 KTBW 022351
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
751 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Early evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing a rather
dry airmass spreading south across the Florida Peninsula, with the
last few showers exiting southwest Florida. With this drier air
mass, Tuesday looks on track to be rain free across the forecast
area. The only other weather impact of note is some haze spreading
west across the Florida Peninsula, likely caused by smoke from
Canadian wildfires being pulled across the western Atlantic
around the edge of the ridge to the north of the state. With a
similar wind pattern on Tuesday, another round of haze will be
possible.

A few minor adjustments were made to the rain chances over
southwest Florida for this evening. No other changes are planned
for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
The last few showers lingering around KRSW and KFMY should clear
out over the next couple of hours. The only other threat to VFR
conditions overnight will be some haze building west across the
Florida Peninsula, which is causing some MVFR and spotty IFR
visibilities. Otherwise, drier air on Tuesday will keep rain
chances low.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Mon Oct 2 2023

High pressure will continue to build across the waters with breezy
northeast winds. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the
coastal waters tonight into early Tuesday morning. Conditions
look to improve to cautionary levels into midweek, but winds are
likely going to remain elevated through the remainder of the week,
particularly during the evening and overnight hours with easterly
surges moving across the waters. Drier air behind the front will
limit rain chances through the week although a few showers and
thunderstorms remain possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  72  89  74  89 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  73  89  72  90 /  20   0   0  20
GIF  70  87  72  87 /   0   0   0  20
SRQ  72  90  72  91 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  67  88  69  89 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  75  87  76  88 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Tuesday for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Fleming
PREVIOUS MARINE...Close