Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 221122
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
722 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2019

.AVIATION...
VFR is expected during the next 24 hours. Northeast to east
winds in the 6 to 8 knot range will prevail except becoming
onshore at the coastal sites after 19Z as a sea breeze
component develops. Northeast to east winds at 5 knots or
less are expected after 02Z tonight.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 252 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2019/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain in control of the weather across
the area for the next few days. There will remain plenty
of dry air over the region today which should allow for
another mainly clear day with only a few clouds likely.
Temperatures will moderate a bit more today with highs
closer to normal values for late April but with dewpoints in
the 40s and 50s, it will continue to feel quite nice
outside. Ridging aloft will start to build eastward over the
Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, with the surface high shifting
eastward a bit. This will set up a light east to northeast
flow for the next few days with an afternoon sea breeze
along the Gulf Coast expected. This NE to E flow will allow
for a gradual increase of temps and dewpoints each day, with
highs returning to the mid to upper 80s through the
remainder of the week. Our next chance for rain will be
Friday into Saturday as another closed low and surface low
move through the southeastern states.

MARINE...
High pressure over the region will keep benign conditions
over the coastal waters through the next several days.
Winds will be light enough to allow a sea breeze to develop
near the coast each afternoon. No headlines are anticipated.

FIRE WEATHER...
Relative humidity values are forecast to reach critical
levels for a few hours on Monday afternoon, but no red
flag conditions are expected at this time. Low-level
moisture increases through the rest of the week, with no
further concerns. No significant fog is expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  80  63  84  64 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  85  62  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  83  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  80  59  83  63 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  82  52  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  80  67  83  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57/McMichael
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...11/McKaughan


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