964
FXUS63 KGLD 080228
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
828 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Storms are possible Tuesday with the main threat of strong to
  damaging wind gusts.

- Remaining mild throughout with highs around the low 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Issued at 818 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025

The severe weather threat has diminished though some isolated
showers and thunderstorms may linger into the late evening and
early overnight hours. Thereafter expecting the sky to clear and
should winds become light and conditions be allowed to radiate
out there is the possibility of some patchy fog, especially in
any low lying areas and more so if they have been saturated in
rain the past 24 to 48 hours. Dewpoints were around 60 during
max temperatures today and using that as a threshold, should
any locations fall at or below there is the threat of lower
visibilities with patchy fog during the morning hours. Lows
tonight are forecast in the mid to upper 50s for the over half
of the forecast area encompassing east-central CO, southwest NE
and northeast KS. Again, dependence on how quickly and effectively
clouds clear with todays shower and thunderstorm activity.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

Issued at 1220 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Generally, weak ridging will persist over the area for the long
term forecast Tuesday through the weekend. As a result, there
will be the potential for some isolated to scattered storms
daily in the afternoon and evening hours through the week and
weekend. The best location for these storms would be mainly for
our western half of the area, but everywhere could see storms
daily. Generally, there is still some uncertainty as to the
severity of these storms. At least for Tuesday, we are outlooked
in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather, so a few of these storms
could be severe with the main risks being winds greater than
60mph and large hail tomorrow. Beyond tomorrow, the storms look
to be primarily sub-severe, but we will continue to monitor for
changes. Temperatures will be a bit warmer as we go toward the
end of the workweek. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s
across the area, so be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent
breaks if you will be spending time outdoors! MSW

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...

Updated at 818 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025

N/NW winds presently should gradually veer E/SE during the over-
night period while becoming light. That said, with RA impacting
KMCK there is the possibility of patchy FG towards morning. But
this will depend on how quickly and effectively present CIGs
clear out. If mid-high CIGs linger the FG threat may not manifest.

E/SE winds increasing during the day Tuesday that should clear
out any lower VSBYs should they exist. Will be monitoring once
again throughout the day for the threat of TSRA.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sipprell
LONG TERM...Williams
AVIATION...Sipprell