679
FXUS64 KSJT 181125
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
Issued by National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
625 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot temperatures are expected today, but could trend
  a few degrees lower in the latter part of the week.

- There is a low chance of thunderstorms tonight, mainly over the
  Big Country, which could produce damaging wind gusts.

- A dry forecast with slightly warmer than normal temperatures
  will prevail for the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

A few weak showers continue to track into the western Big Country
and quickly dissipating as they more eastward early this morning.
Expect another hot and somewhat humid day today across much of
the region, under mostly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds.
High temperatures this afternoon will reach into the mid to upper
90s again, with a few area reaching as high as 101 degrees today.
There is a marginal risk of severe weather across much of the area
tomorrow, but the convection will not arrive until later this
evening and into Thursday morning. Overnight low temperatures
tonight will fall back into the low to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

By Thursday, an upper level ridge will be centered over New
Mexico, while also being spread across most of Texas. This upper
ridge will expand into the Deep South by the end of the week,
maintaining control of our weather here in west central Texas.
Under the ridge, our forecast will be generally dry and warmer
than normal, with highs in the mid to upper 90s through late week.

Over the weekend, a strong upper level low will develop over the
Pacific Northwest region, with significant troughing over the top
of all of the western U.S. This will serve to amplify the ridging
over the eastern CONUS, expanding the ridge northward into the
Great Lakes region, leaving west central Texas on the western
periphery of the ridge, and partially under southwest flow aloft
on the eastern side of the western trough. With the ridge slightly
weaker in our area, temperatures may cool a few degrees for the
first half of next week, and we could see a few isolated storms
along our western CWA border, but will leave the forecast dry for
now.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Breezy south
winds will continue through much of this TAF package, with winds
gusting between 20 and 30 kts across most terminals. Winds will
diminish this evening. and TEMPO groups were added to the end of
the TAF package to show the potential for MVFR ceilings returning
during the overnight hours tonight across KBBD, KSOA, and KJCT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  75  95  75 /  10  20   0   0
San Angelo  98  72  95  72 /   0  10   0   0
Junction    96  71  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   94  72  93  72 /  10  20  10   0
Sweetwater  97  74  96  74 /  10  20   0   0
Ozona       97  72  94  72 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       94  72  93  72 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...TP