


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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679 FXUS64 KSJT 181125 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX Issued by National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 625 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably hot temperatures are expected today, but could trend a few degrees lower in the latter part of the week. - There is a low chance of thunderstorms tonight, mainly over the Big Country, which could produce damaging wind gusts. - A dry forecast with slightly warmer than normal temperatures will prevail for the upcoming weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 A few weak showers continue to track into the western Big Country and quickly dissipating as they more eastward early this morning. Expect another hot and somewhat humid day today across much of the region, under mostly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds. High temperatures this afternoon will reach into the mid to upper 90s again, with a few area reaching as high as 101 degrees today. There is a marginal risk of severe weather across much of the area tomorrow, but the convection will not arrive until later this evening and into Thursday morning. Overnight low temperatures tonight will fall back into the low to mid 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 100 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 By Thursday, an upper level ridge will be centered over New Mexico, while also being spread across most of Texas. This upper ridge will expand into the Deep South by the end of the week, maintaining control of our weather here in west central Texas. Under the ridge, our forecast will be generally dry and warmer than normal, with highs in the mid to upper 90s through late week. Over the weekend, a strong upper level low will develop over the Pacific Northwest region, with significant troughing over the top of all of the western U.S. This will serve to amplify the ridging over the eastern CONUS, expanding the ridge northward into the Great Lakes region, leaving west central Texas on the western periphery of the ridge, and partially under southwest flow aloft on the eastern side of the western trough. With the ridge slightly weaker in our area, temperatures may cool a few degrees for the first half of next week, and we could see a few isolated storms along our western CWA border, but will leave the forecast dry for now. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 540 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Breezy south winds will continue through much of this TAF package, with winds gusting between 20 and 30 kts across most terminals. Winds will diminish this evening. and TEMPO groups were added to the end of the TAF package to show the potential for MVFR ceilings returning during the overnight hours tonight across KBBD, KSOA, and KJCT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 97 75 95 75 / 10 20 0 0 San Angelo 98 72 95 72 / 0 10 0 0 Junction 96 71 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 94 72 93 72 / 10 20 10 0 Sweetwater 97 74 96 74 / 10 20 0 0 Ozona 97 72 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 94 72 93 72 / 0 10 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TP LONG TERM....20 AVIATION...TP