074
FXUS62 KTAE 051135
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
635 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 634 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

- Recurring rounds of nighttime and morning fog will continue
  through this weekend. Allow extra time for your morning
  commutes.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected through the first
  half of next week. There is a low to medium chance of reaching
  record high temperatures late in the week and this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 1216 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

For today, high pressure off of the east coast will keep southeast
flow across the region. Any fog out there this morning is expected
to dissipate by mid-morning. High temperatures will generally range
from the low to mid 80s for most areas, except mid to upper 70s at
the beaches. There is a low chance of showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon (10-30%), primarily north of I-10 as well as across the
southeast big bend where instability will be highest with weak
surface convergence.

For tonight, there is a medium to high chance of fog late in the
night across the region with overnight lows ranging from the upper
50s to lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1216 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

There is little change from the previous forecast. From Friday
through Sunday, a cold front will become stationary across northern
and central Alabama and Georgia. Our proximity to the front will
contribute to a medium chance of showers and a few thunderstorms,
mainly north of the I-10 corridor.

Next week, a strong low off the coast of Baja will eject eastward
into the southern stream, pushing the ongoing high out and changing
the large scale synoptic pattern. Rain chances will start to
increase next Wednesday, particularly NW of a PAM-ABY line, as low
pressure starts to move east along or inland of the Gulf Coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

Conditions are beginning to improve for the ECP terminal this
morning. For our other terminals, lowered cigs and vsbys are still
possible around sunrise, which could bring IFR/LIFR conditions
for a brief moment. By around 14z/15z, the fog and low cigs will
begin to lift and VFR conditions should prevail by the afternoon.
There is a slight chance for isolated showers and/or thunderstorms
affecting the DHN and ABY terminals late this afternoon into the
evening. Another round of fog and low stratus appears on the
horizon for the morning hours around daybreak on Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1216 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

Gentle east to southeast breezes will prevail for the rest of this
week, becoming moderate each night through Friday night during the
nocturnal surge in the easterlies. Daily afternoon seabreezes will
prevail over the nearshore waters. Sea fog will also be a concern
through this weekend due to the moist air mass over winter-chilled
waters. The high pressure ridge over the Southeast States will
settle more directly across the northeast Gulf on Sunday and Monday,
causing winds to become lighter.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1216 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

A fairly persistent pattern of east-southeast flow at the surface
and high pressure aloft will continue through at least Saturday. By
Sunday, a surface ridge to our north will settle south and more
directly across the districts, bringing lighter winds. The east-
southeast flow will maintain a maritime influence on the air mass,
and fog will be a concern each night and morning through the
weekend. Otherwise, much above normal temperatures are forecast each
afternoon through this weekend, with near-record temperatures
possible.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1216 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

No flooding is expected through next Wednesday due to the lack of
hydrologically significant rainfall.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   82  63  82  63 /  10   0  20  10
Panama City   78  62  78  63 /  10  10  20   0
Dothan        83  62  84  62 /  30  10  50  10
Albany        83  62  84  63 /  20  10  30  10
Valdosta      84  63  87  63 /  10  10  20  10
Cross City    86  62  87  62 /  10  10  30  10
Apalachicola  71  62  72  62 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD