Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 091742
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1242 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Main convective line has pushed south of KFSM early this
afternoon. A few lingering showers with isolated thunderstorms
will remain possible at NW AR TAF sites for the next couple of
hours. Still the potential for additional thunderstorm development
across northeast Oklahoma this evening into the overnight hours,
which was handled with PROB30 groups. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected outside any thunderstorm activity.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1124 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to push
through west-central Arkansas this morning in axis of higher
surface based instability.  Main threat with these storms will
be damaging wind gusts in the 60-65 mph range.  This activity will
push southeast of the area by early afternoon with the initial
severe threat ending. Still monitoring the potential for isolated
severe storms to redevelop on western flank of storms/cloud shield
across portions of northeast Oklahoma, west of Highway 75.  Strong
surface heating should continue across aforementioned area with
at least moderate instability developing.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....12


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