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000
FXUS63 KLBF 262310
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
610 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another round of showers and thunderstorms move into the area
  late Saturday afternoon. Some strong storms possible,
  especially near and south of Highway 2 Saturday evening.
  Coverage of showers and thunderstorms becomes fairly
  widespread Saturday night into Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall
  is likely.

- Fairly active weather continues next week with recurring
  chances for rain and thunderstorms, mainly Wednesday through
  Thursday night.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 407 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

19Z surface analysis showed a surface low centered near Grand
Island with a cold front extending southwest through Lexington
and McCook. An upper level low was centered from central into
north central Nebraska. Scattered showers continued near and
west of Highway 83, with isolated storms near and east of a
Broken Bow through Butte line.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 407 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Tonight...The upper low will lift from eastern South Dakota into
Minnesota. Chances for showers and a few thunderstorms this
evening north of Highway 2, ending entirely by midnight.
Cooler air behind the cold front, with lows falling into the
lower 40s west to the mid 40s northeast.

Saturday...Another closed low near the Four Corners 12Z, will
emerge onto eastern Colorado by late afternoon. Surface low
pressure will deepen from southwest into west central Kansas
during the afternoon with a defined warm front extending from
Goodland Kansas through Hastings Nebraska. Northeast winds will
strengthen across western and north central Nebraska. Storms
will initiate along the warm front and lift northward into
areas south of I80 late afternoon with a marginal risk for
severe storms. Highs will only reach near 50 in the northwest
Sandhills to near 70 in Frontier County, in closer proximity to
the warm front.

Saturday night...Deep forcing increases in the evening, with
showers and thunderstorms becoming numerous to widespread, with
potential for another half inch to inch of rainfall. The
heaviest rainfall is expected from North Platte to Mullen back
west through Ogallala and Imperial. Locally higher amounts are
possible. The risk for Flash Flooding appears low, with a
marginal risk for areas along and south of Highway 2 overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 407 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Showers and embedded thunderstorms will be widespread Sunday
morning, becoming scattered in the afternoon. Precipitation
looks to linger across the northeast Sunday evening. Cloudy
skies and cooler air will hold temperatures to well below
normal from 45 to the low 50s most locations.

Monday through Friday...Mainly dry conditions Monday and
Tuesday, with a Northern Stream trough crossing the region
Wednesday through Friday. Moderating temperatures Monday and
Tuesday to the upper 60s to low 70s. A cool front Wednesday with
mid 60s for Thursday. PoPs in the extended are generally
limited to Slight Chance or Chance (35% or less) Wednesday
through Thursday night, with model differences leading to the
lower POPs. Could see 30s for lows Thursday night as surface
high pressure builds in.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 610 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

The shower activity across the Sandhills and nrn Nebraska is
expected to dissipate by 03z this evening. Thereafter, MVFR/IFR
ceilings are likely along and north of highway 2 and these
ceilings could persist throughout the day Saturday in that
area.

VFR is expected south of highway 2 until 15z Saturday. Thereafter,
MVFR ceilings are expected from 15z Saturday morning thorugh 00z
Saturday evening.

Organized thunderstorm development Saturday is not anticipated
until 23z Saturday and the area of concern for this flight
concern is south of Interstate 80.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...CDC