Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 011144

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
544 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 225 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

An upper ridge axis will extend over the Central and Southern
Rockies today. As surface high pressure builds into MN and IA, a
backdoor cold front will move into northeast and and eastern NE.
Meanwhile, warmer temperatures will build across the northern and
central High Plains. Highs were nudged upward a few degrees into
the lower 50s across the central sandhills and southwest NE. The
coolest highs will be in the mid 40s across the far northeastern

A surface trough will move east across the Dakotas and western NE
tonight. Warmer 850mb temperatures from 4-8C will reside over the
area. With southwest winds 5 to 15 mph, some surface mixing will
keep lows up to near 30 much of the nctrl, with low to mid 20s
southwestern areas.

Even warmer Tuesday, as a southwest wind veers to the northwest in
the afternoon. Highs were nudged to near the NBM 50th percentile
with 60 to the low 60s forecast most areas. Elevated to near
critical fire weather conditions are expected Tuesday afternoon,
detailed in the Fire Weather Section.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

An upper ridge will amplify across the Central Plains Wednesday
and Thursday. This will occur as a closed low moves across srn CA
Wednesday evening, and over the Four Corners Region Thursday
morning. Highs will reach into the lower 60s most areas each day.
The closed upper low is forecast to move across Co Thursday
afternoon, then drop southeast into southwest KS/TX Panhandle
Thursday night. On the northern periphery of the system, rain
showers are possible from the southeast panhandle and southwest NE
Thursday night. POPs were raised to near 30 percent across far
swrn areas Thursday night. Dry conditions expected Friday through
Sunday. Mild temperatures to also continue across the region
through Sunday, although a shortwave trough is forecast to move
across MT and WY into the Northern Plains on Sunday. Highs Friday
through Sunday should continue to reach the lower 60s.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 541 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

VFR conditions will prevail today across western and north central
Nebraska. Skies will be clear and winds will be from the northwest
5-10 kts becoming south to southwest at 5-10 kts late this
afternoon and tonight.


Issued at 225 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions due to low RH
and gusty winds can be expected Tuesday afternoon. Dewpoints
Tuesday afternoon will fall to as low as the upper teens much of
zone 204, 210 and 219. A west to northwest wind 10 to 20 mph and
gusts up to 25 mph will combine with highs in the lower 60s to
produce RH values as low as 15 to 20 percent.

Expect lowest afternoon RH values as low as 18 to 25 percent
across zones 204, 206, 210 and 219 on Wednesday. Winds look to be
westerly at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph possible.




LONG TERM...Roberg
FIRE WEATHER...Roberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.